Can the NSW Blues end Queensland’s 6 year series streak? Or will the Maroons find another way to win? The bookmakers are giving Queensland about a 59% chance of continuing their domination with the live NRL odds currently showing Queensland priced between $1.65 up to $1.684 in the Head to Head market while New South Wales are trading between $2.25 up to $2.32. Most Bookmakers have the Line Handicap set at QLD -3.5 NSW +3.5 with -/+2.5 also available. In the Over Under Total market the lines currently differ amongst the bookmakers with O/U34.5, O/U35.5 and O/U36.5 available.
There has been 7 State of Origin deciders played at Suncorp Stadium of which the Maroons have won 5 and the Blues just 2. With the first two games of this years series being tight contests decided by eight points and four points respectively, NSW face a huge challenge in trying to end Queensland's reign up in enemy territory. Ricky Stuart's Blues will no doubt turn up with the passion and commitment required to win and it will be an almighty effort if they do manage to overcome the Maroons with their home field advantage.
For Queensland the key will be to get off to a strong start as NSW have not been outscored in the second half over the last 6 games. For NSW they should be looking to improve on their late tackle options as they were unable to force any line-dropouts in game two whereas the Queenslanders managed to force 6 restarts.
Highest State of Origin Odds: As with all bets it is a must to wager into the highest odds possible. Looking at the State of Origin odds of the leading bookies we see that Pinnacle Sports have the highest odds available in the H2H and Line markets as well as offering 4 out of 5 of the highest odds in the margin market. It is no surprise as Pinnacle has the lowest margins in the business, have the highest limits and welcome winning players. If you don't have an account with Pinnacle Sports why not check them out today!
Queensland Team Line Up: Greg Inglis, Darius Boyd, Dane Nielsen, Justin Hodges, Brent Tate, Johnathan Thurston, Cooper Cronk, Matthew Scott, Cameron Smith, Petero Civoniceva, Nate Myles, Sam Thaiday, Corey Parker, Matt Gillett, Ben Te'o, Ben Hannant, David Shillington,
New South Wales Team Line Up: Brett Stewart, Jarryd Hayne, Michael Jennings, Josh Morris, Brett Morris, Todd Carney, Mitchell Pearce, Tim Grant, Robbie Farah, James Tamou, Beau Scott, Greg Bird, Paul Gallen, Luke Lewis, Ben Creagh, Anthony Watmough, Tony Williams,
QLD v NSW Winning Margin Odds: A quick comparison of the leading online bookmakers for NRL betting shows that currently the prices for Queensland to win by 1-12 points ranges between $2.75 up to $2.97, Queensland by 13+ $3.50 up to $4.20 while for NSW to win by 1-12 points the odds range between $3.15 up to $3.30 and for NSW by 13+ $5.75 up to $6.75 with the draw at $27.
|03/06/09||1.53||-5.5||Queensland||28||18||New South Wales||5.5||2.5|
|24/06/09||2.35||4.5||New South Wales||14||24||Queensland||-4.5||1.6|
|15/07/09||1.5||-6||Queensland||16||28||New South Wales||6||2.6|
|26/05/10||2.15||3.5||New South Wales||24||28||Queensland||-3.5||1.7|
|16/06/10||1.42||-6.5||Queensland||34||6||New South Wales||6.5||2.85|
|07/07/10||2.4||-6||New South Wales||18||23||Queensland||6||1.57|
|25/05/11||1.48||-6||Queensland||16||12||New South Wales||6||2.68|
|15/06/11||2.33||3.5||New South Wales||18||8||Queensland||-3.5||1.65|
|06/07/11||1.56||-4.5||Queensland||34||24||New South Wales||4.5||2.52|
|23/05/12||2.73||6||New South Wales||10||18||Queensland||-6||1.518|
|13/06/12||1.934||-1||New South Wales||16||12||Queensland||1||2|
The prediction - Here at BetonFooty.com.au our handicapping numbers favor Queensland by 6 points. Of course these games are charged with emotion and quite often can be decided by one or two errors, a sin bin or a freakish piece of play. Either way it should be a cracker!