New South Wales v Queensland Game 2

Submitted by betonfooty on Mon, 11 Jun 2012 - 4:22pm

State of Origin Game 2, 2012

Can the Blues win State of Origin game 2? Well the bookmaker’s odds suggest they have close to a 50/50 chance. The latest NRL Head to Head Odds have New South Wales trading between $1.83 up to $1.934 while Queensland are between $1.91 up to $2.00 The line handicap market is basically a non issue with the odds so close however there is a line of NSW -1 QLD +1 available. In the over under total market the bookies early line is O/U34.5 points.

Despite Queensland’s recent dominance it would appear as though the home field advantage and wet track have evened out both teams chances, going by the bookmakers odds. Given that game one was played in neutral territory and QLD were favored by 6 points (and won by 8) it would appear as though the Blues are being given a 6 point home field advantage. The nucleolus of both teams remain the same from game one with NSW losing Tony Williams (injury) and Jamie Buhrer (dropped) which sees Tim Grant and Anthony Watmough coming in. The QLD side has Dave Taylor starting in place of Sam Thaiday who has a shoulder injury while Corey Parker has been added to their bench.

New South Wales Team Line Up: Brett Stewart, Jarryd Hayne, Michael Jennings, Josh Morris, Akuila Uate, Todd Carney, Mitchell Pearce, Tim Grant, Robbie Farah, James Tamou, Glenn Stewart, Greg Bird, Paul Gallen, Trent Merrin, Luke Lewis, Ben Creagh, Anthony Watmough

Queensland Team Line Up: Billy Slater, Darius Boyd, Greg Inglis, Justin Hodges, Brent Tate, Johnathan Thurston, Cooper Cronk, Matthew Scott, Cameron Smith, Petero Civoniceva, Nate Myles, Sam Thaiday, Ashley Harrison, Matt Gillett, David Taylor, Ben Hannant, David Shillington, Corey Parker, Ben Barba

NSW v QLD Winning Margin Odds: As with all betting markets if you are going to bet into the highest odds available you will need to do some price shopping before placing your bet. The winning margin market is no exception and leading NRL bookmakers odds see New South Wales to win by 1-12 points ranging between $2.75 up to $3.00, NSW by 13+ $4.75 up to $5.35 and for the Queenslanders to wrap the series up with a 1-12 point win the odds are between $2.85 up to $3.00 or for QLD by 13+ $4.75 up to $5.35 while the draw option is at $24.00.

NRL State of Origin Betting History, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
03/06/09 1.53 -5.5 Queensland 28 V 18 New South Wales 5.5 2.5
24/06/09 2.35 4.5 New South Wales 14 V 24 Queensland -4.5 1.6
15/07/09 1.5 -6 Queensland 16 V 28 New South Wales 6 2.6
26/05/10 2.15 3.5 New South Wales 24 V 28 Queensland -3.5 1.7
16/06/10 1.42 -6.5 Queensland 34 V 6 New South Wales 6.5 2.85
07/07/10 2.4 -6 New South Wales 18 V 23 Queensland 6 1.57
25/05/11 1.48 -6 Queensland 16 V 12 New South Wales 6 2.68
15/06/11 2.33 3.5 New South Wales 18 V 8 Queensland -3.5 1.65
06/07/11 1.56 -4.5 Queensland 34 V 24 New South Wales 4.5 2.52
23/05/12 2.73 6 New South Wales 10 V 18 Queensland -6 1.518