North Queensland v St George Illawarra

NRL Round 9, 2012 -


The odds for the North Queensland Cowboys to beat the St George Illawarra Dragons have dropped a little since the opening odds were posted. Opening odds for this game saw the Cowboys at $1.77 and the Dragons $2.18, with current NRL Odds seeing North Queensland offered between $1.66 and $1.714 while the St George Illawarra Dragons head to head odds range from $2.20 up to $2.27. The bookmakers currently have the line at Cowboys -2.5 Dragons +2.5 and they are yet to post the over under line.

North Queensland: Last week the Cowboys let the Rabbitohs get to a game winning 20-0 lead early on and while they made the final score line look respectable at 16-20, Neil Henry will be looking for his troops to get off to a much better start against the Dragons. The Cowboys have been erratic thus far with wins over BRI (28-26), PAR (42-6), CAN (22-6) and SYD (50-12) while going down to GC (0-18), CRO (14-20), MEL (18-42) and STH (16-20). They are averaging 23.75 points per game while allowing an average of 18.75 for a differential of +5. In NRL betting results the Cowboys are 4-4 (-$20) against the line handicap and +$24 against the money line odds.

St George Illawarra: Sitting in outright 4th place on the ladder the Dragons have won 5 (NEW, WST, MAN, NEW, SYD) and lost 3 (CANT, BRI, CRO). They have a positive point’s differential of +.25 having averaged 16.50 points per game in attack and allowing 6.25 in defense. In the NRL betting results the Dragons have gone 4-4 (-$20) against the Line Handicap and they are +$126 against the Head to head odds (for $100 bets each week).

NRL Betting History North Queensland v St. George Illawarra Round 9, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
31/03/07 2.36 3.5 St. George Illawarra 18 V 22 North Queensland -3.5 1.66
18/08/07 1.63 -4 North Queensland 24 V 14 St. George Illawarra 4 2.45
12/04/08 1.73 -2.5 St. George Illawarra 16 V 20 North Queensland 2.5 2.25
09/05/09 1.54 -5.5 North Queensland 24 V 20 St. George Illawarra 5.5 2.67
14/06/09 1.64 -3.5 St. George Illawarra 32 V 18 North Queensland 3.5 2.41
26/03/10 1.36 -8.5 St. George Illawarra 33 V 8 North Queensland 8.5 3.49
08/05/11 1.5 -6 St. George Illawarra 22 V 8 North Queensland 6 2.55

The verdict - Here at we were a little slow off the mark with this game. Our numbers show value on the Cowboys against the head to head odds and we were not able to get the opening price and have taken North Queensland at $1.714. While our numbers still show sufficient value at those odds to make a play it is on the limit and we would not have gone below $1.70.