NRL ANZAC Day sees the St George Illawarra Dragons hosting the Sydney Roosters at Allianz Stadium, 4.pm Wednesday. The Dragons are currently $1.46 favourites in the head to head market while our live NRL Odds comparison section sees the Roosters are priced as high as $2.97. In the NRL Line Handicap market most bookmakers are running with a line of St George Illawarra -6.5 points and the Sydney Roosters +6.5 points.
The Dragons have around seven players who will be backing up on a very short turnaround from the weekends rep matches. St George are 4-3 for the season with wins over NEW (15-14), WST (36-12), MAN (17-6) and NEW (12-4) while their losses have been against the Bulldogs (4-30), Brisbane (20-28) and Cronulla (0-12). The Dragons have averaged 14.86 points per game in attack while conceding an average of 15.14 for a negative differential of -.28. In NRL betting results the Dragons are 4-3 +$80 against the Line handicap and they are showing an +$80 profit against the NRL head to head odds (for $100 bets each week).
The Sydney Roosters head into this game off the back of a 38 point loss to the Cowboys in round 7. No doubt Brian Smith has put extra focus on defense at training after seeing his side allow North Queensland to score 50 points. Sydney has a 4-3 record and has had wins over the Rabbitohs (24-20), Raiders (14-8), Warriors (26-8) and Titans (18-12) while they have been beaten by the Panthers (0-18), Storm (4-44) and Cowboys (12-50). The Roosters have a point’s differential of -8.86 having averaged 14 points per game while allowing 22.86. Against the NRL line handicap bet the Roosters have covered 4 times and fallen short 3 for a profit of +$80 while against the head to head odds they are +$162.
If you fancy a punt on the winning margin bet then currently the highest odds for St George to win by 1-12 points is $3.05 and for the Dragons by 13+ $2.66 while for the Roosters to cause the upset by 1-12 points you can get odds of $4.20 and by 13+ $8.25 with the draw option at $29.
|25/04/07||1.88||-3||Sydney||18||4||St. George Illawarra||3||2.03|
|25/04/08||3.41||9.5||St. George Illawarra||26||6||Sydney||-9.5||1.37|
|05/09/08||2||0||Sydney||10||0||St. George Illawarra||0||1.91|
|25/04/09||2.47||4||Sydney||0||29||St. George Illawarra||-4||1.62|
|03/07/09||1.27||-12.5||St. George Illawarra||34||12||Sydney||12.5||4.26|
|25/04/10||1.48||-6.5||St. George Illawarra||28||6||Sydney||6.5||2.86|
|08/08/10||1.95||0||Sydney||12||19||St. George Illawarra||0||1.91|
|25/04/11||3.1||7.5||Sydney||10||24||St. George Illawarra||-7.5||1.43|
|14/08/11||1.13||-18||St. George Illawarra||12||20||Sydney||18||7.21|
The verdict - our numbers here at BetonFooty.com.au pretty much agree with the bookmakers odds and lines. As for the over under total line which has not been posted as yet, we would expect the line to be close to O/U 36 and will keep an eye on the bookies number and the weather.