The second ANZAC Day NRL game features the Melbourne Storm up against the New Zealand Warriors at AAMI Park 7.pm. The Storm opened as high as $1.47, but have since moved in a little to currently be trading at $1.43 in the NRL Odds head to head market. The Warriors odds currently range from $3.00 up to $3.05. Most bookmakers opened the week with a handicap of Melbourne -6.5 New Zealand +6.5 however the Storm received enough early support to move the line a full point, with it currently sitting at Storm -7.5 Warriors +7.5. The over under total line currently sees Pinnacle with O/U 35.5, Centrebet and Sportsbet.com.au with O/U 36.5
The undefeated Melbourne Storm will likely be treating this match as a get even opportunity after the Warriors knocked them out (20-12) in last years preliminary final. Melbourne is 7-0 and a win would see their best ever start to a season. They are averaging 30 points per game while allowing only 12.14 for a point’s differential of +17.86. In NRL betting results the Storm are 6-1 against the line handicap bet for a profit of +$470 and they are +$309 against the head to head odds.
The New Zealand Warriors are 3-4 for the season with wins over PAR (36-20), GC (26-6) and STH (44-22) while they have lost to MAN (20-26), CANT (18-32), SYD (8-26) and CAN (12-32). Last years Grand Finalists have scored and allowed an average of 23.43 points per game. In NRL betting the Warriors are 3-4 against the line handicap for -$115 and they are showing a -$254 loss against the head to head odds.
Currently in the winning margin betting market you can get Melbourne by 1-12 points at $3.10 and Melbourne 13+ at $2.75 or if you fancy the Warriors to cause an upset they are as high as $4.30 to win by 1-12 points and $8.50 to win by 13+ while the draw option is up to $31.
Date | Odds | Line | Home | Score | V | Score | Away | Line | Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/04/07 | 1.47 | -7.5 | Melbourne | 30 | ![]() |
12 | New Zealand | 7.5 | 2.92 |
10/06/07 | 1.61 | -4.5 | New Zealand | 2 | ![]() |
4 | Melbourne | 4.5 | 2.48 |
17/03/08 | 1.31 | -10.5 | Melbourne | 32 | ![]() |
18 | New Zealand | 10.5 | 3.8 |
27/07/08 | 3.28 | 8 | New Zealand | 8 | ![]() |
6 | Melbourne | -8 | 1.39 |
25/04/09 | 1.5 | -6 | Melbourne | 14 | ![]() |
14 | New Zealand | 6 | 2.8 |
05/09/09 | 3.33 | 8.5 | New Zealand | 0 | ![]() |
30 | Melbourne | -8.5 | 1.38 |
25/04/10 | 1.31 | -10 | Melbourne | 40 | ![]() |
6 | New Zealand | 10 | 3.85 |
17/07/10 | 1.71 | -3 | New Zealand | 13 | ![]() |
6 | Melbourne | 3 | 2.27 |
25/04/11 | 1.29 | -10.5 | Melbourne | 14 | ![]() |
18 | New Zealand | 10.5 | 3.97 |
26/06/11 | 2.04 | 0 | New Zealand | 8 | ![]() |
16 | Melbourne | 0 | 1.87 |
The verdict - here at BetonFooty.com.au are numbers show sufficient value on the Storm to warrant some plays. We got in and backed them straight up at $1.465 in the head to head market and at -6.5 against the line. In the over under total market we have taken the over 35.5 bet.