Melbourne v New Zealand

Submitted by betonfooty on Wed, 25 Apr 2012 - 11:23am

NRL Round 8, 2012 -

StormWarriors

The second ANZAC Day NRL game features the Melbourne Storm up against the New Zealand Warriors at AAMI Park 7.pm. The Storm opened as high as $1.47, but have since moved in a little to currently be trading at $1.43 in the NRL Odds head to head market. The Warriors odds currently range from $3.00 up to $3.05. Most bookmakers opened the week with a handicap of Melbourne -6.5 New Zealand +6.5 however the Storm received enough early support to move the line a full point, with it currently sitting at Storm -7.5 Warriors +7.5. The over under total line currently sees Pinnacle with O/U 35.5, Centrebet and Sportsbet.com.au with O/U 36.5

The undefeated Melbourne Storm will likely be treating this match as a get even opportunity after the Warriors knocked them out (20-12) in last years preliminary final. Melbourne is 7-0 and a win would see their best ever start to a season. They are averaging 30 points per game while allowing only 12.14 for a point’s differential of +17.86. In NRL betting results the Storm are 6-1 against the line handicap bet for a profit of +$470 and they are +$309 against the head to head odds.

The New Zealand Warriors are 3-4 for the season with wins over PAR (36-20), GC (26-6) and STH (44-22) while they have lost to MAN (20-26), CANT (18-32), SYD (8-26) and CAN (12-32). Last years Grand Finalists have scored and allowed an average of 23.43 points per game. In NRL betting the Warriors are 3-4 against the line handicap for -$115 and they are showing a -$254 loss against the head to head odds.

Melbourne v New Zealand Winning Margin Odds

Currently in the winning margin betting market you can get Melbourne by 1-12 points at $3.10 and Melbourne 13+ at $2.75 or if you fancy the Warriors to cause an upset they are as high as $4.30 to win by 1-12 points and $8.50 to win by 13+ while the draw option is up to $31.

NRL Betting History Melbourne v New Zealand Round 8, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
01/04/07 1.47 -7.5 Melbourne 30 V 12 New Zealand 7.5 2.92
10/06/07 1.61 -4.5 New Zealand 2 V 4 Melbourne 4.5 2.48
17/03/08 1.31 -10.5 Melbourne 32 V 18 New Zealand 10.5 3.8
27/07/08 3.28 8 New Zealand 8 V 6 Melbourne -8 1.39
25/04/09 1.5 -6 Melbourne 14 V 14 New Zealand 6 2.8
05/09/09 3.33 8.5 New Zealand 0 V 30 Melbourne -8.5 1.38
25/04/10 1.31 -10 Melbourne 40 V 6 New Zealand 10 3.85
17/07/10 1.71 -3 New Zealand 13 V 6 Melbourne 3 2.27
25/04/11 1.29 -10.5 Melbourne 14 V 18 New Zealand 10.5 3.97
26/06/11 2.04 0 New Zealand 8 V 16 Melbourne 0 1.87

The verdict - here at BetonFooty.com.au are numbers show sufficient value on the Storm to warrant some plays. We got in and backed them straight up at $1.465 in the head to head market and at -6.5 against the line. In the over under total market we have taken the over 35.5 bet.