Cronulla v Parramatta

NRL Round 7, 2012 -

SharksEels

Paul Gallen and his Cronulla Sharks play host to the Parramatta Eels at Toyota Stadium in NRL round 7. The Cronulla Sharks have put together 4 straight wins, with current odds giving them around a 68% chance of making it 5 in a row. Betonfooty.com.au's live NRL Odds currently shows that the Sharks are priced between $1.46 to $1.48 in the head to head odds market while the Eels odds range from $2.72 up to $2.95. The NRL line handicap seems to have settled at the Sharks -6 Eels +6 and the early over under total line is between O/U 36.5 to O/U 38 depending on the bookmaker.

Heading into NRL round 7 the Cronulla Sharks have the best defensive record in the league having conceded an average of only 12.83 points per game. In attack they are averaging 14.33 which gives the Sharks a point’s differential of +1.5 per game. In NRL betting results Cronulla are 5-1 +$375 against the line handicap and their 4 wins and 2 losses has them showing a profit of +$430 against the head to head odds. Defense can win games and this has been the case for the Sharks with wins over Manly (17-14), North Queensland (20-14), Penrith (15-14) and St George Illawarra (12-0). Cronulla's two losses were against Wests (16-17) and Newcastle (6-18).

The Parramatta Eels are 1-5 with a win against the Sea Eagles (29-20) and losses to the Broncos (6-18), Warriors (20-36), Cowboys (6-42), Panthers (6-39) and Knights (6-14). Parramatta has only managed to score 6 points in 4 of their 6 matches this season, giving them a negative point’s differential of -16 points per game. In NRL betting markets the Eels record against the line handicap is 1-5 -$405 and they are showing a loss against the money line odds of -$248 (for $100 bets each week).

NRL Betting History Cronulla v Parramatta Round 7, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
11/08/07 1.21 -12.5 Parramatta 24 V 25 Cronulla 12.5 5.1
22/06/08 2.05 0 Cronulla 16 V 14 Parramatta 0 1.87
30/05/09 1.56 -5 Parramatta 10 V 13 Cronulla 5 2.62
02/08/09 2.95 6.5 Cronulla 0 V 30 Parramatta -6.5 1.46
03/04/10 4.5 12.5 Cronulla 11 V 0 Parramatta -12.5 1.25
22/05/10 1.31 -9.5 Parramatta 18 V 22 Cronulla 9.5 3.85
23/05/11 1.48 -8 Parramatta 40 V 6 Cronulla 8 2.88

Seven regular season games have been played between the Sharks and Eels in the past 5 years, with Cronulla holding a 5-2 advantage. The underdog has gone 5-2 and the team who has won outright has covered the line handicap in all 7 games. The average game total is 32.71 points with individual game totals of (49, 30, 23, 30, 11, 40, 46).

The verdict - BetonFooty.com.au's numbers show value on the Sharks against the line handicap. We got in early on the Sharks -5.5 at $1.92, not wanting to wait in case the line moved to 6 which it has with most bookmakers. We would take them as high as -6 if we had to however getting on the right side of a key number like 6 is preferable.