Wests v Brisbane

NRL Round 6, 2012

TigersBroncos

The Wests Tigers take on the Brisbane Broncos in NRL Round 6, Friday night 7.35pm. Wests Tigers who started the season as premiership favourites have one win from 5 starts and have gone out to odds of $15 in premiership betting. In current NRL Odds the bookmakers are giving the Tigers around a 40% chance of getting their 2nd win. The head to head betting market has Wests odds at around $2.50 while the Broncos are as high as $1.61. The NRL Line Handicap for this game currently sees Luxbet with Tigers +3.5 Broncos -3.5, Sportsbet and Pinnacle have a line of +/- 4 while Centrebet have +/- 4.5.

The Wests Tigers will welcome back Robbie Farah and Keith Galloway this week, but will their presence be enough to turn the tigers woes around? The Tigers are 1-4 for the season having averaged 15.8 points per game while allowing 24.2 for a negative differential of -8.4. Wests only win came in round 1 against Cronulla (17-16) with their losses being against Manly (18-22), St George (12-36), Canberra (16-30) and Souths (16-17). In NRL betting results the Tigers are 1-4 against the line handicap -$305 and showing a loss of -$355 against the money line odds.

Last week Brisbane put 24 unanswered points on against the Dragons in the first half. The second half was a different story with the Broncos scoring 4 points to the Dragons 20. The win took Brisbane's record to 4 wins and 1 loss for the season and places them in equal 2nd spot on the ladder. They have beaten the Eels (18-6), Knights (24-10), Rabbitohs (20-12) and Dragons (28-20) with their lone defeat coming against the Cowboys (26-28) in round 2. Thus far the Broncos have averaged 23.2 points per game and conceded an average of 15.2 for a point’s differential of +8. In NRL betting the Broncos have covered the line handicap each time they have won straight up giving them a record of 4-1 +$280 and they are showing a profit against the head to head odds of +$181.

NRL Betting History Wests v Brisbane Round 6, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
25/06/07 1.47 -6.5 Brisbane 48 V 18 Wests 6.5 2.89
03/05/08 2.5 4.5 Wests 22 V 34 Brisbane -4.5 1.61
20/06/08 1.57 -5 Brisbane 19 V 18 Wests 5 2.6
22/05/09 3.7 10 Wests 18 V 20 Brisbane -10 1.32
02/07/10 2.53 4.5 Brisbane 14 V 16 Wests -4.5 1.59
22/04/11 1.9 -2.5 Wests 18 V 31 Brisbane 2.5 2.01

With six regular season meetings between these two teams in the past 5 years the currently stands at Broncos 5 Tigers 1. There have been some tight contests over that time with the losing team managing to cover the NRL Line Handicap in 3 of the 6 games. Their last regular season match was in round 7 last season where the Broncos won (31-18) as slight underdogs $2.01 (+2.5). The average game total over the last 5 seasons is 46 points.

The verdict - Here at BetonFooty.com.au our head to head and line handicap numbers are virtually identical to to bookmakers lines so we have no plays in those markets. As always we will be keeping an eye out for the over under line and the weather conditions.