Brisbane Broncos v St George Dragons

NRL Round 5, 2012


The Brisbane Broncos head into Friday nights clash with the St George Illawarra Dragons as home favourites. The Broncos are coming off a 20-12 come from behind victory over the Rabbitohs in Perth last weekend, a win that came at a high price with Jharal Yow Yeh suffering a badly broken leg.'s live NRL Odds comparisons see the Brisbane Broncos as high as $1.613 in the Head to Head Odds market while the highest odds at present for the Dragons is $2.50. The NRL Line Handicap market sees Pinnacle, Centrebet and with Broncos -4.5 / Dragons +4.5, while Luxbet currently have the Broncos -4 / Dragons +4.

The Broncos are 3-1 for the season with wins over Parramatta (18-6), Newcastle (24-10) and Souths (20-12) with their lone loss being against North Queensland (26-28). They have averaged 22 points per game and allowed an average of 14 for a point's differential of +8. In NRL betting markets the Broncos have a 3-1 record against the Line for +$185 and are showing a profit of +$120 against the Head to head odds (for $100 bets each game).

The St. George Illawarra Dragons also have 3 wins and one lost to their names. They have beaten Newcastle (15-14), Wests (36-12) and Manly (17-6), with their only loss being against Canterbury (4-30) in round 2. Similar to the Broncos, when the Dragons have won straight up they have also covered the NRL Line (3-1) for +$185 and they are currently the 2nd most profitable team against the moneyline odds +$215 as per our NRL Head to Head Odds Betting Results table.

NRL Betting History Brisbane v St. George Illawarra Round 5, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
01/06/07 4.8 13.5 St. George Illawarra 11 V 4 Brisbane -13.5 1.19
03/04/09 1.53 -6 Brisbane 12 V 25 St. George Illawarra 6 2.72
21/08/09 1.29 -10 St. George Illawarra 2 V 12 Brisbane 10 4
09/04/10 1.13 -18 St. George Illawarra 34 V 16 Brisbane 18 7.28
01/08/10 2.13 2 Brisbane 10 V 6 St. George Illawarra -2 1.8
17/06/11 1.85 0 Brisbane 21 V 14 St. George Illawarra 0 2.06

These two teams have only met 6 times in regular season games over the past 5 years. In that time the series stands at 3-3 with the Broncos winning the last regular season match up last season (21-14). The team who wins outright has covered the NRL Line Handicap 5 out of 6 with the other being a push. The underdog has won 4 of the 6 match ups showing a profit of +$765 (for $100 bets each match). Despite both teams attacking strengths in the past few years it has been the defense that has won out, with the average game total being 27.83 points and 5 of the 6 game totals being under the league average of 42.

The verdict - here at our numbers pretty much agree with the bookies. We will be keep an eye out for the Over Under Total line once released and the weather.