Plenty of odds and line movement in the lead up to the Newcastle v Canterbury clash this weekend. Currently a comparison of the live NRL Odds market shows Newcastle trading between $2.35 up to $2.40 in the Head to Head market while Canterbury are priced between $1.59 up to $1.671. The Line Handicap is currently at Newcastle +4 Canterbury -4 and the over under total line is O/U 40.5.
The opening odds for this game were posted with Newcastle at $2.7 (+6) and Canterbury $1.55 (-6). The weight of money has moved Newcastle in .30 to .35 cents on the moneyline and in 2 full points on the line handicap. As the market currently sits the odds and lines are approximating the Bulldogs to score 24.25 points to the Knights 18.25 points.
Newcastle: The Knights have turned their season around and now find themselves in a genuine fight for a top eight spot. With their 9-10 record Newcastle sit in 9th place having averaged 19.58 points per game while allowing 19.79 for a differential of -.21 points per game. In recent results the Knights have beaten the Raiders (36-6), Warriors (24-19) and Sea Eagles (32-6) and suffered a loss to the Rabbitohs (14-34). In NRL Line Betting Results the Knights have a 9-10 (-$145) record while against the Head to Head odds they are showing a profit of +$195.
Canterbury: While plenty of punters fancy Newcastle's chances of causing an upset they will need to get the better of the hottest team in the league and the new premiership favourites. Canterbury has disposed of North Queensland (32-18), Manly (20-12), Parramatta (32-12) and Wests (32-20) in recent weeks. With 14 wins and 5 losses Des Hasler's side have averaged 23.63 points per game while conceding 14.68 for a differential of +8.95. Not only are Canterbury sitting in 1st place they are also the most profitable team against the line handicap 15-3-1 (+$1,125) and most profitable against the Head to head odds 14-5 (+$692.10).
The Prediction - Here at BetonFooty.com.au our numbers showed value on Newcastle at the start of the week. We bought half a point and took Newcastle +6.5 against the line handicap. The current odds and line are closer to our numbers and don't reflect enough value to warrant a play in our opinion.