Brisbane v New Zealand

NRL Round 19, 2012 -


Brisbane Broncos host the New Zealand Warriors in NRL Round 19. Comparing the bookmakers live NRL odds we see that currently Brisbane are offered between $1.46 up to $1.50 in the Head to Head market while New Zealand are trading between $2.67 up to $2.87. The Line Handicap is steady amongst the sportsbooks with a line of Broncos -6 Warriors +6 and the early over under total is O/U42.5.

Brisbane: The Broncos are coming off the bye and will be happy to be through the tricky Origin period of the season. Anthony Griffin's side are sitting in 4th place with a 10-6 record having averaged 23.13 points per game while conceding 17.88 for a differential of +5.15 points per game. In recent NRL Results the Broncos have lost to the Sharks (12-16), defeated the Rabbitohs (26-12), lost to the Cowboys (0-12) and beaten the Roosters (40-22). In NRL betting results the Broncos have a 9-6-1 (+$255) record against the line handicap bet and they are -$2.30 against the head to head odds for $100 bets each week.

New Zealand: This will be the Warriors second game in QLD in as many week, having disposed of an under manned Titans outfit last week (32-14). Their assignment this week will no doubt be much more difficult with the Broncos rested from the bye and their Origin stars returning. In other recent results for the Warriors they have had a convincing win over the Cowboys (35-18), a narrow loss to the Sharks (19-20) and a 14 point win over the Panthers (30-16). New Zealand is currently sitting in 8th place with a 8-8 record having averaged 24.25 points per game while allowing an average of 22.25 for a differential of +2. In NRL Line betting results the Warriors are 7-9 (-$235) while against the head to head odds they are -$346.60.

NRL Betting History Brisbane v New Zealand Round 19, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
25/03/07 1.53 -6 New Zealand 24 V 14 Brisbane 6 2.71
09/08/08 2.14 2.5 New Zealand 16 V 12 Brisbane -2.5 1.72
28/03/09 1.58 -4.5 New Zealand 10 V 26 Brisbane 4.5 2.58
03/07/09 1.4 -7.5 Brisbane 28 V 14 New Zealand 7.5 3.23
28/03/10 1.56 -5.5 Brisbane 16 V 48 New Zealand 5.5 2.62
27/08/10 1.54 -5.5 New Zealand 36 V 4 Brisbane 5.5 2.66
06/08/11 1.51 -6 Brisbane 21 V 20 New Zealand 6 2.75
05/05/12 2.2 2 New Zealand 30 V 20 Brisbane -2 1.75

Brisbane v New Zealand History: The last eight regular season games have resulted in 3 wins for Brisbane and 5 wins for New Zealand. The home team has won on 6 occasions and the away team has won twice. The favourite v underdog record is 4-4 and the winner has covered the line 7-1 while the average game total is 42.38 points. The last meeting was earlier this year when the Warriors got the win (30-20) as home underdogs $2.20 (+2).

The Prediction - Here at our no vig numbers priced the Broncos at around $1.52 and the Warriors $2.92 so we don't see enough value either way to warrant a play. We will keep an eye the total and the surface condition given the wet weather around Brisbane.