The Melbourne Storm host the Canberra Raiders in NRL Round 18. Current NRL Head to Head Odds see the Storm priced between $1.20 up to $1.25 while the Canberra Raiders odds are ranging between $4.15 up to $4.85. Bookmakers have the line set at around Melbourne -12.5 Canberra +12.5 with some offering MEL -13.5 CAN +13.5 and the early over under total looks like O/U38.5 points.
Melbourne Storm: Despite 2 losses from their last 3 games Craig Bellamy's Storm still sit comfortable on top of the ladder with a 4 point margin over 2nd placed Canterbury. Melbourne have a 12-3 record, having averaged 25.87 points per game while allowing 13 for an impressive +12.87 points per game differential. In recent NRL scores and results the Storm have lost to the Bulldogs (4-20), defeated the Se Eagles (26-22), lost to the Tigers (6-10) and had a win against the Warriors (22-12). When it comes to NRL betting results Melbourne are 12-3 (+$840) against the line handicap and they are +$340.40 against the head to head odds.
Canberra Raiders: The Green Machine continued their dominance over the Dragons last week with a (22-18) victory in the nations capital. Other recent results for the Raiders include a (18-40) loss to the Cowboys, a (32-16) win against the Knights and a (0-40) thumping by the Tigers. Sitting in 13th place on the ladder with 6 wins and 9 losses the Raiders yet again have had a season plagued with injuries and disappointment. Betting results for Canberra sees them with a 6-8-1 (-$230) record against the line handicap and their win loss record has them showing a loss of -$95.70 against the money line odds.
Melbourne v Canberra History: Interestingly for two team who both historically have strong home field advantages, the past 3 results have all gone the way of the visiting team. Over the past eleven regular season games the Storm have the advantage 9-2. The home away record is 5-6 while the starting favourite has won 9 times and the underdogs 2 times. The team who has won straight out has also covered the line handicap at a rate of 9-2 and the average game total is 39.73.
The Prediction - Our figures here at BetonFooty.com.au agree that Melbourne are deserved favourites (no questions there!) and we don't see enough value in the head to head market for a play. We do however see sufficient value in the line handicap market on the Raiders for a wager, we have backed Canberra +13.5.