Manly v Melbourne

NRL Round 15, 2012 -

Sea EaglesStorm

Monday Night Football sees the Manly Sea Eagles as 4.5 point favourites as they host the Melbourne Storm. The latest live NRL bookmaker odds see Manly's head to head odds range between $1.51 up to $1.60 while Melbourne are between $2.40 up to $2.60. The line handicap market sees most bookmakers running with a line of Manly -4.5 Melbourne +4.5 and the early over under total is O/U34.5 .

Manly: Geoff Toovey's Sea Eagles are sitting in 5th place with 8 wins and 5 losses. In recent NRL results and scores Manly had the bye last week, defeated St George Illawarra (20-8), suffered a shock loss to Penrith (4-22), were too good for the Roosters (18-10) and the Broncos (24-22). In NRL betting results the Sea Eagles are 5-6-2 (-$125) against the line handicap and they are +$56.40 against the head to head odds (for $100 bets each week). Manly have averaged 17.54 points per game in attack while conceding an average of 16.23 in defense for a differential of +1.31.

Melbourne: The Storm will be without star fullback Billy Slater for possibly up to a month with Matt Duffie his likely replacement. The Storm is sitting in 1st place with 11 wins and 2 losses having averaged 27.54 points per game while allowing an average of 11.77 for a whopping +15.77 differential. In recent weeks Melbourne have lost to the Tigers (6-10), defeated the Warriors (22-10) and Broncos (34-10), had the bye and lost to Cronulla (10-12). In NRL line betting results the Storm have been the most profitable team in the competition with a 11-2 (+$845) record while against the head to head odds they are also profitable +$280.40.

Manly v Melbourne Winning Margin Odds: The winning margin betting option is a popular one for footy fans as the odds are higher which can certainly be appealing when there is a heavy favourite. The odds can vary significantly in this market so before placing a bet it is good practice to do some odds comparisons. Currently at the leading NRL bookmakers we see that for Manly to win by 1-12 points the prices range between $2.83 up to $3.00, Manly by 13+ $2.95 up to $3.46 while for Melbourne to get the win by 1-12 points $3.65 up to $3.75 and for Melbourne by 13+ $5.75 up to 46.96 while the draw option is out as high as $29.40.

NRL Betting History Manly v Melbourne Round 15, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
26/05/07 1.77 -3.5 Manly 13 V 12 Melbourne 3.5 2.18
11/04/08 1.36 -8.5 Melbourne 26 V 4 Manly 8.5 3.47
08/08/08 2.36 4 Manly 10 V 16 Melbourne -4 1.6
01/05/09 2 0 Manly 8 V 22 Melbourne 0 1.91
23/08/09 1.98 0 Melbourne 16 V 20 Manly 0 1.93
19/04/10 1.44 -6.5 Melbourne 16 V 18 Manly 6.5 2.85
07/08/10 1.65 -3.5 Manly 26 V 6 Melbourne 3.5 2.35
12/03/11 1.59 -4 Melbourne 18 V 6 Manly 4 2.63
26/08/11 1.6 -4 Manly 18 V 4 Melbourne 4 2.5

Manly v Melbourne History: Nine regular season meetings over the past 5 years has seen Manly win 5 to Melbourne's 4 wins. The home v away record is 5-4 and the starting favourite v underdog is 8-1. The team who wins the game straight up has also covered the line bet 8-1 and the average game total is 28.78

The Prediction - BetonFooty.com.au's handicapping numbers show value on the Storm here. We have taken Melbourne in the head to head market at $2.60 and with +4.5 points start against the line handicap.