The Bookies are giving Manly about a 67.5% chance of victory when they play host to the St George Illawarra Dragons at Brookvale Oval, Fri 7.35pm. Current NRL Odds see Manly priced between $1.46 up to $1.50 while the Dragons are trading between $2.65 up to $2.82. The Line Handicap is consistent amongst the bookmakers with the Sea Eagles -6 Dragons +6.
Manly Se Eagles: Geoff Toovey's Sea Eagles are coming off a disappointing trip out to the foot of the mountains last weekend where they started as $1.4 (-7) favourites against Penrith, losing by 18 points (4-22). While Manly have a 7-5 record for the season, 3 of their losses have come against sides positioned at the bottom of the ladder, having also lost to the Gold Coast (14-26) as $1.24 (-12.5) favourites and to Parramatta (20-29) $1.35 (-9). The Sea Eagles have averaged 17.35 points per game in attack while allowing 16.92 in defense for a differential of +.41. In NRL betting results the Sea Eagles are 4-6-2 (-$220) against the line handicap and they are +$7.20 against the head to head odds. Manly's line up will be without Steve Matai due to suspension however they will welcome Kieran Foran and Jason King back from injury for this match.
St George Illawarra: The Dragons broke their 3 game losing streak last week with an unconvincing 2 point win over the bottom of the ladder Eels (14-12). There has been much talk about the Dragons attacking worries which has them averaging 15.17 points per game overall and a meager 9.5 points in away games. St George are sitting in 10th place on the ladder with a 6-6 overall record and a 1-5 away record. In betting results St George Illawarra have the worst record in the competition against the line handicap bet having gone 4-8 (-$420) and they are showing a loss of -$135 against the head to head odds (for $100 bets each week). The Dragons line up will see Nathan Fien returning from injury and he is expected to start from the bench.
Manly v St George Illawarra Margin Odds: Comparing prices amongst the Top Bookmakers we see that odds for Manly to win by 1-12 points ranges between $2.85 up to $3.10, Manly by 13+ is between $2.70 up to $2.85 and for St George Illawarra to win by 1-12 points the prices vary between $3.75 up to $4.00, Dragons by 13+ $6.40 up to $7.60 and the draw can be backed at $26.
|01/07/07||2.67||6||St. George Illawarra||26||22||Manly||-6||1.54|
|02/09/07||1.29||-10||Manly||28||24||St. George Illawarra||10||4.1|
|23/05/08||1.42||-8||Manly||18||20||St. George Illawarra||8||3.14|
|12/07/09||1.5||-6||St. George Illawarra||48||18||Manly||6||2.8|
|08/05/10||2.48||4.5||Manly||24||6||St. George Illawarra||-4.5||1.61|
|16/08/10||1.49||-6||St. George Illawarra||32||10||Manly||6||2.84|
|27/06/11||1.71||-2.5||St. George Illawarra||24||6||Manly||2.5||2.28|
|24/03/12||1.76||-2.5||St. George Illawarra||17||6||Manly||2.5||2.19|
History Between Manly v St George: The Dragons hold the advantage in recent regular season games having won 6 to Manly's 2. The home v away record is 7-1 and the favourite v underdog is 5-3. The team who has won straight up has also covered the NRL line handicap bet 7-1. The average game total is 41.13. These two teams met in round 4 this season where St George were victorious 17-6 having started as $1.76 (-2.50) favourites.
The prediction: BetonFooty.com.au's handicapping figures pretty much agree with the odds and lines that the bookmakers have posted, so no plays in the H2H or Line markets. We will keep an eye out for the over under total line once posted.