The Brisbane Broncos host Wayne Bennett's Newcastle Knights at Suncorp Stadium, Sunday 3.00pm. Comparing the bookmakers prices at out Live NRL Odds section we see that currently Brisbane are trading between $1.17 up to $1.20 while Newcastle are between $4.75 up to $5.31. The Line Handicap market ranges from -/+12.5 up to -/ +14.5 with the average bookmaker line being Brisbane -14 Newcastle +14. The early over under total is O/U36.5.
Brisbane Broncos: It is round 13 and the Brisbane Broncos will be playing their first day game and their first Sunday match of the year, having enjoyed the familiarity of nine Friday night games out of eleven starts. Brisbane has lost their last 3 starts having gone down to the Storm (10-34), Sea Eagles (22-24) and Warriors (20-30). Sitting in 2nd place on the ladder the Broncos have a 7-4 record and have averaged 22 points per game while allowing 17.27 for a +4.75 differential. In NRL betting results Brisbane are 6-4-1 ($170) against the line handicap and they are +$12 against the money line odds.
Newcastle Knights: The Knights have coped plenty of criticism in the media this week, with most of it deserved, they have not been playing well and their commitment last week against the Titans was very poor. Sitting in 11th spot on the ladder the Newcastle side have 4 wins and 7 losses to their name having averaged 15.27 points per game and conceding 17.91 for a -2.64 differential. In NRL betting results the Knights are 4-7 (-$320) against the line and they are -$366 against the head to head odds. In recent NRL Results the Knights have lost to the Gold Coast (14-24), North Queensland (12-32) and Sydney (6-24).
Brisbane v Newcastle History: Over the last ten regular season games played between these two teams Brisbane has won 7 to Newcastle's 3. The home v away record is 5-5 and the favourite v underdog is 6-4. The team who has won the head to head battle has also covered the line handicap in every game 10-0. The average game total is 43.8 points and their last encounter was in round3 this year when Brisbane won (24-10) as $1.87 (-1.5) favourites.
The Prediction - Our handicapping numbers pretty much agreed with the bookmakers opening odds and line of -/+10.5 however with the line moving out to 14 or 14.5 we see enough value in the Knights with the start. Here at BetonFooty.com.au we have made a play on Newcastle +14 against the line handicap.