Wests v North Queensland

NRL Round 12, 2012 -


The odds are suggesting that the Wests Tigers are about a 62.5% chance of beating the North Queensland Cowboys at Campbelltown Stadium. Currently the NRL Head to Head Odds market sees the Tigers priced between $1.57 up to $1.62 while the Cowboys are trading between $2.35 up to $2.56. The Line Handicap market sees most bookies running with a line of Tigers -4 Cowboys +4 and the over under total line varies between O/U41.5 up to O/U42.5.

Wests Tigers: The Tigers are sitting in 8th spot with a 5-5 record having averaged 19.3 points per game while conceding 20.5 for a negative points differential of -1.2. Wests have won their last three games which have been against PAR (31-30), GC (15-14) and NZ (24-22). In NRL betting results the Wests Tigers are 4-6 (-$220) against the line handicap as per our NRL Line Betting Results and they are -$216 against the money line odds. Wests are expecting Robbie Farah back after his Origin duties while there is a question mark over Chris Lawrence who has a hamstring problem.

North Queensland: The Cowboys are currently 3rd on the ladder with a +7.82 points differential per game care of scoring an average of 25.64 points per game while allowing an average of 17.82. In NRL Results North Queensland are 7-4 for the season and they have an away record of 4-1. Their last three games have all been wins where they have scored 30 or more points including a (30-28) win over Penrith, (32-12) win over Newcastle and (30-6) v the Dragons. In betting results the Cowboys are 6-5 (+$70) against the NRL line handicap and they are showing a profit of +$223.30 against the head to head odds. The late mail suggests that Matt Scott may not be able to back up following Origin duties.

Winning Margin Odds for Tigers v Cowboys: With the most respected Bookmakers usually having varying odds in this market it is wise to shop for the highest odds before placing your bets. Currently we see the highest odds for Wests by 1-12 points is $3.30, Wests by 13+ $3.20 and for North Queensland by 1-12 points $3.95, North Queensland by 13+ $6.4 while the draw is $28.

NRL Betting History Wests v North Queensland Round 12, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
07/04/07 1.29 -10.5 North Queensland 25 V 24 Wests 10.5 4.1
30/07/07 1.42 -7.5 Wests 54 V 10 North Queensland 7.5 2.9
22/03/08 1.35 -9.5 North Queensland 10 V 30 Wests 9.5 3.53
07/06/08 1.17 -14 Wests 40 V 16 North Queensland 14 5.5
21/03/09 1.41 -8 North Queensland 42 V 14 Wests 8 3.19
19/07/09 1.7 -2 Wests 34 V 14 North Queensland 2 2.18
10/04/10 1.8 -2 North Queensland 16 V 23 Wests 2 2.13
19/07/10 1.33 -10 Wests 26 V 16 North Queensland 10 3.67
16/07/11 2.13 3.5 North Queensland 18 V 38 Wests -3.5 1.8

The Prediction - Here at BetonFooty.com.au we generally like to place our wagers earlier in the week and more often than not it works out that the odds and lines move our way and we are able to get the better of the closing number. Sometimes it doesn't work that way and this game would seem to be a case in point. Our handicapping numbers show value on the Cowboys and we got in and took them at $2.44 in the head to head market and +3.5 against the line handicap. Having waited we could have gotten better odds in the head to head market and we certainly would have preferred to have gotten +4 in the Line market.