North Queensland opened the week as $1.57 (-4.5) home favourites for their clash with the Penrith Panthers. The Cowboy's odds have been coming in, with the latest NRL Odds seeing North Queensland between $1.48 up to $1.50 in the head to head market while Penrith are between $2.67 up to $2.86. The line handicap has moved from the opening -/+4.5 to currently sit at North Queensland -6 Penrith +6 and the early over under total is O/U 42.
North Queensland: The Cowboys are currently sitting in 4th spot on the ladder with 6 wins and 4 losses. They have averaged 25.2 points per game while allowing an average of 16.8 for a +8.4 differential. In NRL betting results the Cowboys are 6-4 (+$170) against the line handicap bet and +$170.40 against the head to head odds. In recent NRL Results North Queensland have defeated Newcastle (32-12), St George Illawarra (30-6) and Sydney (50-12) and lost to South Sydeny (16-20).
The Penrith Panthers: Penrith got their 3rd win of the season last week with a golden point field goal by Lachlan Coote sealing the victory over the Dragons (13-12). That win took the Panthers to a 3-7 record and has them sitting in 15th place coming into round 11. Having averaged only 14.6 points per game while conceding an average of 23.3 the Panthers have a negative point’s differential of -8.7 points per game. NRL betting results for Penrith see them with a 3-7 (-$415) record against the line handicap and -$188 against the head to head odds (for $100 bets each week).
In and Out: North Queensland are without Jonathan Thurston, Matt Scott, James Tamou and Brent Tate (Origin Duty) with Ricky Thorby to face a fitness test for a rib complaint. Penrith have Luke Lewis and Michael Jennings on Origin Duty, Cameron Ciraldo is in doubt while Luke Walsh my make an early return for this game.
Betting History - North Queensland v Penrith: Over the last 5 regular seasons North Queensland have won 3 to Penrith's 5. The home v away record is 4-4, so too the favourite v underdog (4-4). The team who wins straight up has also covered the line handicap 7-1 and the average game total is 45.13 points. Their last encounter saw the Cowboys win by (30-18) as home favourites at odds of $1.66 and cover the line handicap of -2.5.
The Prediction - BetonFooty.com.au's handicapping numbers show value on the Cowboys here. We got in and took the Cowboys in the head to head odds market at $1.524 and in the line handicap market at -5.5 points. The current over under total line of 42 is pretty much in agreement with our number, so no play there.