Brisbane v Manly

NRL Round 10, 2012 -

BroncosSea Eagles

The Brisbane Broncos host the Manly Sea Eagles in what should be a blockbuster NRL Friday Night clash in round 10. The latest NRL Odds see the Broncos trading between $1.97 up to $2.09 in the head to head market while odds for a Manly win are between $1.80 and $1.85. In NRL line handicap betting the bookmakers that are posting a line have it set at Broncos +2 Sea Eagles -2 or +/-1.5.

Brisbane Broncos: Brisbane suffered their second defeat of the season last week going down to the Warriors (20-30) in New Zealand. That game saw Broncos halfback Peter Wallace suffer a groin injury which is set to keep him on the sideline until round 12. With a 7-2 record the Broncos have had wins over GC (26-6), CAN (30-6), WST (18-14), STG (28-20, STH (20-12), NEW (24-10) and PAR (18-6) while their two losses have come against the Warriors (20-30) and North Queensland (26-28). Brisbane has averaged 23.33 (3rd) points per game while allowing an average of 14.67 (2nd), for a differential of +8.66. In NRL betting results thus far the Brisbane Broncos have gone 6-3 (+$270) against the line handicap and +$212 against the head to head odds.

Manly Sea Eagles: Manly have slowly been getting some of their star players back on the paddock in recent weeks and as a result the wins have been coming. They will still be without Tony Williams who is due back in round 11 and Kieran Foran who is listed as indefinite for this game. The Sea Eagles have averaged 18 points per game while allowing 16.56 for a positive differential of +1.44. NRL Results for Geoff Toovey's men have them at 5-4 for the season with wins over CAN (18-12), CANT (12-10, PEN (30-0, WST (22-18) and NZW (26-20) while their losses have been against GC (14-26), PAR (20-29), STG (6-17) and CRO (14-17). Against the NRL line handicap bet the Sea Eagles are 3-5-1 (-$215) and against the head to head odds they are -$20 (for $100 bets each week).

Brisbane v Manly Winning Margin Betting Odds: If you are considering having a bet on the winning margin market for this game it will pay to shop for odds at the leading Online Bookmakers as odds prices will vary considerably. Currently the best odds for Brisbane to win by 1-12 points is $3.35, Brisbane 13+ is $4.75 and for Manly to get the win by 1-12 points $3.15, Manly 13+ $4.25 and the draw is $26.

NRL Betting History Brisbane v Manly Round 10, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
21/05/07 1.27 -10.5 Manly 18 V 6 Brisbane 10.5 4.25
05/08/07 2.62 5.5 Brisbane 8 V 21 Manly -5.5 1.56
11/05/08 1.65 -5.5 Brisbane 12 V 30 Manly 5.5 2.4
10/05/09 1.5 -6 Brisbane 20 V 22 Manly 6 2.8
06/06/10 1.54 -5.5 Manly 6 V 22 Brisbane 5.5 2.66
27/05/11 1.51 -6 Manly 34 V 10 Brisbane 6 2.75
04/09/11 1.24 -12 Brisbane 18 V 10 Manly 12 4.65

Betting History Broncos v Sea Eagles: These two sides have met 7 times in regular season play over the last 5 years with Manly holding the advantage 5-2. The team who has won outright has also covered the line handicap 6-1. The home v away record is 3-4 and the favourite v underdog is 4-3. The average game total over this time is 33.86 points.

The Verdict - have taken the Brisbane Broncos against the head to head odds at $2.09. Despite Peter Wallace being out his replacement Ben Hunt is more than capable. As always we will be comparing our handicapping numbers against the over under line once the bookies have posted their numbers.