This is the time of year to be a footy fan! NRL Finals start Friday night with the Bulldogs taking on the Sea Eagles followed by two matches on Saturday, the Storm v Rabbitohs and the Cowboys v Broncos with the Sunday game seeing the Raiders host the Sharks. As always the finals series attract plenty of money in the betting markets and we have all of the NRL Finals Odds and Lines from the leading bookmakers right here at BetonFooty.com.au.
The opening odds for this game saw Canterbury posted as $2.2 underdogs and Manly at odds of $1.757, with a Line of +/-2.5 points. The Bulldogs have come in since then with their current odds trading between $2.09 up to $2.15 while Manly are currently priced between $1.72 up to $1.833. The Line Handicap differs amongst the bookies with Canterbury getting either a +2 or +2.5 points start. The last time they met was in round 20 this season when Canterbury traveled to Brookvale and got the win (20-12) as $2.25 (+3.50) underdogs. In NRL betting results for the regular season the Bulldogs are 18-5-1 (+$1,210) against the line handicap and +$754.30 against the Head to Head odds, making them the most profitable team against the line and H2H this season. Manly showed a profit of $222.80 against the moneyline odds and ended the regular season with a 12-10-2 (+$140) record against the Line.
The Prediction - Our numbers show value on the Bulldogs and we were more than happy to get them at odds of $2.2 in the Head to head market.
Current odds for the second finals game between the Storm and Rabbitohs see Melbourne trading between $1.61 up $1.67 while odds for the Rabbitohs to cause an upset are trading between $2.25 up to $2.38. The Line handicap is currently Melbourne -3.5 South Sydney +3.5. Melbourne finished the regular season with an equal best home record of 9 wins and 3 losses, sharing that stat with the Rabbitohs, Bulldogs, Sea Eagles and Dragons. By comparison South’s away record stands at 7 wins and 5 losses for the season. The last time they met was in round 2 this year when the Storm prevailed by 14 points (24-10) as $1.45 (-6.5) home favourites.
The Prediction - Here at BetonFooty.com.au our handicapping numbers like the odds and line on offer for the Storm. We have taken Melbourne at odds of $1.676 in the H2H market and -3.5 against the line handicap.
The Broncos second half of the season has not been convincing and current odds are suggesting they only have around a 34% chance of getting past Johnathan Thurston's Cowboys on Saturday night. Current odds have North Queensland priced between $1.40 up to $1.47 while Brisbane is trading between $2.75 up to $3.00. In the Line handicap market you can get the Cowboys -6.5 Broncos +6.5. North Queensland finished in 5th place with a 15-9 record having averaged more points per game (24.88) than any other side while allowing 18.54 for a points differential of +6.34. The Broncos managed 20.04 points per game while conceding an average of 18.63 for a differential of +1.41.
The Prediction - Our numbers agree with those of the bookies in this one, so no plays for us here.
Part way through the season not many would have given the Raiders a hope of featuring in September footy, in fact the wooden spoon looked a more likely outcome. David Furner's side had other ideas however and managed to finish 6th, winning 8 of their last 10 games including a (34-6) thumping of the Bulldogs as $2.8 (+60) underdogs in round 25. The latest odds have the Raiders trading between $1.632 up to $1.65 while the Sharks are priced between $2.28 up to $2.43. The Line Handicap varies amongst the leading bookmakers with Canberra -3.5 Cronulla +3.5 being the average, while lines of -/+2.5 and -/+4 are also available.
The Prediction - Our numbers here at BetonFooty.com.au agree that Canberra should be favourites and while we have them at slightly shorter odds than the bookies are offering there isn't enough value for us to make a play. So we will just sit back and watch what should be a very entertaining sudden death finals match.