AFL Round 8, 2012 -
The Sydney Swans look to bounce back from two straight losses as they host Melbourne in AFL round 8. The bookmakers have installed Sydney as short priced favourites with the latest AFL Odds seeing them priced at $1.10 while Melbourne's head to head odds range between $7.50 up to $8.60. The AFL Line Handicap market currently sees most bookmakers running with a line of Sydney -41.5 Melbourne +41.5 with Luxbet offering -/+ 40.5.
The Sydney Swans: After the first 5 rounds the Swans were sitting comfortably on top of the ladder with a perfect 5-0 start to the season. The last two weeks however have not gone quite to plan, with back to back losses against ADEL (94-99) and RICH (62-91) and captain Adam Goodes being sidelined with a quad injury. Now sitting in 5th spot on the ladder the Sydney Swans have a 5-2 record and a positive point's differential of +19.57 ppg. Overall the Swans have averaged 25.57 scoring shots per game while allowing 21.17 for a positive scoring shots differential of +3.86. In AFL betting results the Sydney Swans are 4-3 (+$80) against the line handicap and they are +$275 against the head to head odds (for $100 bets each week).
The Melbourne Demons: Making the headlines for Melbourne is their surprise inclusion of Liam Jurrah for this weekends clash against the Swans. The Demons are sitting in 18th spot on the ladder without a win and they are coming off a 66 point hiding by the Hawks last week. Overall the Demons have a negative point's differential per game of -50.86 and they have averaged 19 scoring shots per game while allowing an average of 32.71 for a scoring shots differential of -13.71. In AFL betting results Melbourne are 2-5 (-$310) against the line handicap and without a win they are -$700 against the H2H odds for $100 bets each week.
Betting History Sydney v Melbourne: With 6 regular season games played between these two teams over the past 5 years it is Sydney who holds the advantage 4-1-1. Last years game in which Melbourne started as $1.7 (-6.5) home favourites ended in a 84-84 point draw. The home team has a 2-4 record however 3 of the Demons home games were played in Canberra (Manuka Oval). The starting favourite has gone 4-1-1 and the average game total is 171.67 points.
The Prediction - BetonFooty.com.au's handicapping numbers indicate a play on the Sydney Swans against the line handicap, we have taken the Swans -40.5 points.