AFL Round 8, 2012 -
AFL Grand Final rematch when Collingwood host Geelong in round 8 action this Friday 7.50pm at the MCG. Bookmakers have installed the Magpies as favourites with the current AFL head to head odds market seeing them trading between $1.72 up to $1.751 while odds for a Geelong victory range between $2.08 up to $2.20. In the Line Handicap market most bookies have opened with a line of Collingwood -4.5 Geelong +4.5. With odds likely to fluctuate right up until game time, you can keep up to date with price movements by comparing odds from the leading bookmakers via our live AFL Odds for this big game and all other round 8 match ups.
Collingwood: After 3 rounds the Magpies only had one win to their name and a swag of injuries, 4 weeks on they are getting players back and building some winning momentum. Collingwood have improved their record to 5-2 with wins over RICH (85-64), PORT (97-73), ESS (80-79), WB (98-77) and BRI (116-58) with their early losses coming against HAW (115-135) and CARL (62-122). The Magpies have averaged 93.29 points per game while conceding 87.14 for a differential of +6.15 points per game. In AFL betting results Collingwood have the worst record in the league against the line handicap 1-6 -$505 and they are showing a loss of -$57.50 against the head to head odds (for $100 bets each week).
Geelong: The Cats were convincingly beaten last week by Adelaide (72-122) and they lost the contested possessions by 22, a stat that the Cats have not won in any game this season. That loss took Geelong to 4-3 for the season with their other losses being against FRE (101-105) and NTH MEL (114-131) while their victories have been against HAW (92-90), RICH (75-65), BRI (79-41) and MEL (119-76). In AFL betting results Geelong are 2-5 (-$310) against the line handicap and they are -$83.30 against the H2H odds. Having scored an average of 93.14 points per game and allowing an average of 90 the Cats have a point’s differential of +3.14.
Collingwood v Geelong Winning Margin Odds: A quick scan of the leading Online Bookmakers current winning margin odds sees the highest odds for Collingwood to win by 1-39 points $2.49 and Collingwood by 40+ $5.40. On the other side the best odds currently for Geelong to win by 1-39 points are $2.85 and for Geelong by 40+ $8.80.
Betting History - Magpies v Cats: With 7 regular season match ups over the past 5 seasons it is Geelong who hold the advantage with 5 wins to Collingwood’s 2. Over this tme the team who wins outright has covered the line handicap in every game 7-0. The home v away record is 4-3 and the starting favourite v underdog record is 3-4. The average game total for the past 7 regular season games is 171.43 points.
The Prediction - here at BetonFooty.com.au our handicapping numbers pretty much agree with the head to head odds and line that the bookmakers have posted, therefore no plays on this game for us.