Melbourne v Hawthorn

AFL Round 7, 2012 -

Bookmakers are giving Melbourne about a 6.5% chance of getting their first win for the season when they host Hawthorn in AFL Round 7, Friday 7.40pm. The Demons are currently trading in the head to head market at odds of between $13 up to $15 while Hawthorn's odds range between $1.03 and $1.04. With the Hawks odds so low many punters will be looking toward the line handicap market, where comparing the latest AFL Odds we see the line is Melbourne +52.5 Hawthorn -52.5 with +/-49.5 and +/-51.5 also on offer.

The Melbourne Demons: The last 3 weeks has seen the Demons put in much more competitive performances however the end results remained the same. With an 0-6 record Melbourne have been beaten by Brisbane (78-119), West Coast (58-166), Richmond (74-133), Western Bulldogs (67-88), St Kilda (66-84) and Geelong (76-119). The Demons have averaged 69.83 points per game while allowing an average of 118.17 for a differential of -48.33 points. Melbourne have gone 2-4 (-$210) against the line handicap bet thus far and -$600 against the head to head odds.

Hawthorn: The Hawks have a great opportunity to get their 4th win of the season on Friday night. With a 3-3 record Hawthorn's AFL Results show that they have beaten the Magpies (137-115), Crows (140-84) and Saints (123-88) while they have gone down to the Cats (90-92), Eagles (46-51), and Swans (69-106). In AFL betting results the Hawks are 3-3 against the line handicap which shows -$15 (for $100 bets each week) and they are -$185 against the money line odds. Having scored an average of 100.83 points per game while conceding 89.33 Hawthorn have a points differential of +11.50 leading into round 7.

Melbourne v Hawthorn Winning Margin Odds: Another popular AFL betting market punters turn to when the favourites odds are so short is the winning margin market. Comparing the current odds from the leading Online Bookmakers we see that you can get Melbourne by 1-39 points at $13.50, Melbourne 40+ at $101 and Hawthorn by 1-39 at $3.05, Hawthorn by 40+ $1.53 and the draw is up to $126.

AFL Betting History Melbourne v Hawthorn Round 7, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
09/04/07 2.5 12.5 Hawthorn 116 V 94 Melbourne -12.5 1.61
23/03/08 1.37 -19.5 Hawthorn 154 V 50 Melbourne 19.5 3.41
25/05/08 14.4 48.5 Melbourne 78 V 97 Hawthorn -48.5 1.05
24/05/09 1.17 -32.5 Hawthorn 114 V 92 Melbourne 32.5 5.25
27/03/10 5.2 30.5 Melbourne 61 V 117 Hawthorn -30.5 1.2
15/08/10 1.66 -7.5 Hawthorn 99 V 78 Melbourne 7.5 2.37
03/04/11 1.45 -16.5 Hawthorn 122 V 77 Melbourne 16.5 2.97
24/07/11 4.3 26.5 Melbourne 78 V 132 Hawthorn -26.5 1.26

The verdict - BetonFooty.com.au's handicapping numbers agree with those of the bookmakers in this one. No plays for us in either the head to head or line handicap markets for this game.