AFL Round 7, 2012 -
The Adelaide Crows are home underdogs as they host Geelong in AFL Round 7 action, Saturday 1.15pm at AAMI Stadium. Bookmakers opened with Adelaide as high as $2.30 in the head to head market with those odds tightening since. Currently AFL Odds Comparisons show the Crows are trading between $2.20 up to $2.23 while Geelongs head to head odds range from $1.67 up to $1.735. In the AFL Line Handicap market most bookmakers are running a line of Adelaide +5.5 Geelong -5.5, with +/-6.5 also available.
Adelaide Crows: The Crows are coming off a spirited away win over the Swans last week. Behind by 7 points coming into the final quarter the Crows struck with 4 consecutive goals and did enough to hold the lead and get the win (15.9) 99 to (14.10) 94. That win took Adelaide to 5-1 for the season having also beaten GC (137-68), WB (82-64, GWS (96-50) and PORT (110-91) with their lone defeat coming against Hawthorn in round 3 (84-140). In AFL betting results this season the Crows are 3-3 (-$15) against the line handicap and they are +$328.80 against the head to head odds, as per the BetonFooty.com.au AFL Odds Betting Results Table.
Geelong: The reigning premiers are 4-2 for the season with wins over HAW (92-90), RICH (75-65), BRI (79-41) and MEL (119-76) while they have lost to FRE (101-105) and NTH MEL (114-131). The Cats have a positive points differential of +12 having scored an average of 96.67 points per game while allowing an average of 84.67. In AFL betting results Geelong are 2-4 (-$210) against the line handicap and +$16.70 against the head to head odds.
Adelaide v Geelong Winning Margin Odds: As always the winning margin betting market sees significant price differences between the leading Online Bookmakers and it is worthwhile odds shopping before placing your bet. Currently some of the highest odds are Adelaide to win by 1-39 points $3.00, Adelaide by 40+ $9.25 and for Geelong to get up by 1-39 points $2.40, Geelong by 40+ $5.25 while the draw is up to $67.
Adelaide v Geelong History: Geelong have dominated over the last 5 regular seasons between these two teams with a 7-1 record. The team that wins straight up has covered the AFL line handicap bet 6-2. The home and away record is 4-4 and the starting favourite has won 7-1. 175.5 points is the average game total over their last 8 encounters and the last match up saw Geelong as $1.07 favourites get an 11 point win (96-85) while Adelaide covered the +50.5 point line handicap by 39.5 points.
The Verdict - Here at BetonFooty.com.au our handicapping numbers show value on the Crows. We got in and bet Adelaide at $2.30 in the head to head market and at +8 against the Line Handicap. Even though the line and odds have come in slightly since we made our plays we still see value at the current levels.