AFL Round 6, 2012 -
The Essendon Bombers are short priced favourites as they host the Brisbane Lions in AFL Round 6. Scanning our Live AFL Odds you can see that currently Essendon's head to head odds differ only by a cent amongst the bookmakers, from $1.18 to $1.19. The head to head odds for Brisbane to cause the upset do differ however, with their odds being offered from $4.70 up to $5.63. The line handicap for this game ranges from Essendon -29.5 Brisbane +29.5 up to a line of -/+31.5 points.
Essendon: The Bombers lost their first game of the season last week in a dramatic one point loss to the Magpies (11.13) 79 to (11.14) 80. With a 4-1 (+$638) straight up record the Essendon Bombers have been the most profitable team against the head to head odds over the first 5 rounds (for $100 bets each week), as per our AFL Odds Betting Results stats. In other AFL betting results the Bombers are 2-3 -$110 against the line handicap. Essendon have beaten Melbourne (17.17) 119 to (11.12) 78, Port Adelaide (16.15) 111 to (13.8) 86, Gold Coast (15.15) 105 to (13.10) 88 and Carlton (15.19) 109 to (11.13) 79.
Brisbane Lions: Brisbane are 2-3 for the season having beaten North Melbourne (14.20) 104 to (15.12) 102 and the Gold Coast (17.9) 111 to (6.10) 46 while they have fallen short against Carlton (9.9) 63 to (23.16) 154, Fremantle (5.5) 35 to (8.16) 64 and Geelong (4.17) 41 to (12.7) 79. AFL betting results for the Lions sees them with a 2-3 +$85 record against the line handicap and against the head to head odds they show a loss of -$69.60.
In the winning margin betting market it pays to shop the respected Online Bookmakers to pick and choose the best odds. Scanning the current odds we see that some of the highest odds include Essendon by 1-39 points $2.35, Essendon 40+ $2.40 or Brisbane by 1-39 points $5.35, Brisbane 40+ $34 and the draw option at $71.00
History Essendon v Brisbane: Six meetings between these two teams over the past five regular seasons sees Essendon lead with 3 wins to Brisbane's 2 and one draw. The home and away record is 3-2-1 and the favourite v underdog is also 3-2-1. The last time they met Essendon won as $1.19 (-32.5) favourites by 102 points to 66, covering the line handicap by 3.5 points. The average game total over this period is 191.17 points.
The verdict - Betonfooty.com.au's handicapping numbers show value on the Bombers against the line handicap. We have gotten in and taken them at -29.5.