AFL Round 5, 2012 -
The Fremantle Dockers host the Carlton Blues in Friday Night AFL Round 5 action from Patersons Stadium, 6.45pm. Fremantle are home underdogs with the Latest AFL Odds head to head market seeing them priced between $2.25 up to $2.35 while Carlton are between $1.61 to $1.699. In the line handicap betting most bookmakers are running with a line of Fremantle +7.5 Carlton -7.5 and over at Centrebet they currently have the line at +/- 6.5.
The Fremantle Dockers:Fremantle are coming off a handy road win in Melbourne over St Kilda (14.8) 92 to (11.13) 79 which took them to 3-1 for the season. The Dockers other wins have been against Geelong (16.9) 105 to (15.11 (101) and Brisbane (8.16) 64 to (5.5) 35 while their lone loss was against Sydney (12.9) 81 to (14.10) 94 on the road. The Dockers have averaged 85.5 points per game and allowed an average of 77.25 for a point’s differential of +8.25. In AFL betting results the Dockers are 2-2 (-$10) against the line handicap bet and are showing a profit of +$253 against the head to head odds.
Carlton:The season started exactly to plan for Carlton with wins over Richmond (18.17) 125 to (12.9) 81, Brisbane (23.16) 154 to (9.9) 63 and Collingwood (18.14) 122 to (9.8) 62 starting to get them billed as possible premiership favourites. Then as $1.13 favourites the Blues hosted Essendon last week only to be dealt a 30 point loss (11.13) 79 to (15.19) 109 by the bombers. With a 3-1 record the Blues have averaged 120 points per game while conceding 78.75 for a differential of +41.25. Thus far when Carlton has won straight up they have also covered the line handicap bet where they have a 3-1 (+$185) record. Against the head to head odds Carlton are showing a profit of +$74.
If you are thinking of having a punt on the Fremantle v Carlton Winning Margin Bet then it will pay to shop around as odds can vary considerably. Currently we see that the highest odds for Fremantle to win by 1-39 points is $3.15 and for Fremantle by 40+ is $9.08 both at Pinnacle Sports. If you like the Blues in this game you can currently get Carlton to win by 1-39 points at odds of $2.45 and Carlton by 40+ $4.75 both at Centrebet while the draw option is up to $59.86.
The History:With seven regular season meeting over the past 5 seasons Fremantle hold a slight advantage having won 4 to Carlton’s 3. The away team has won 4-3 and the starting favourite has won 5-2. The team who has won outright has also covered the AFL line handicap in 6 of the 7 games. The average game total is 200.14 points and 4 of the last 7 games have seen a single figure winning margin.