AFL Round 5, 2012 -
ANZAC Day AFL Football kicks off round 5 with Collingwood taking on Essendon at the MCG, 2.40pm. Collingwood will start as favourites with the Latest AFL Odds seeing them priced at odds of between $1.67 up to $1.729 while you can bet Essendon at odds of $2.15 up to $2.25 in the head to head market. The line handicap for this game sees Centrebet, Pinnacle and Sportsbet.com.au all with a line of Magpies -5.5 Bombers +5.5 and Luxbet currently running with a line of -/+ 6.5.
Collingwood got a much needed win over Port Adelaide (14.13 97 to (10.13) 73 on Saturday which took their season record to 2-2. Collingwood's other victory came against Richmond in round two (12.13) 85 to (8.16) 64 while their losses have been against Hawthorn (16.19) 115 to (20.17) 137 and Carlton (9.8) 62 to (18.14) 122. Those results give the Magpies an average of 89.75 points per game while allowing 99 for a differential of -9.25. In AFL betting markets the Magpies are 0-4 (-$400) against the line handicap and show a loss of -$159.40 against the head to head odds (for $100 bets each week as per BetonFooty.com.au's AFL Head to Head Odds Betting Results ).
The undefeated Essendon Bombers caused the upset of the season so far, with their (15.19) 109 to (11.13) 79 win over Carlton last week. The Bombers started that match as $8.00 outsiders in the head to head market with few giving them a chance. The win made it 4 from 4 for Essendon having beaten North Melbourne (14.20) 104 to (15.12) 102, Port Adelaide (16.15) 111 to (13.8) 86 and Gold Coast (15.15) 105 to (13.10) 88 in the earlier rounds. They have a positive point’s differential of +18.50 having conceded an average of 88.75 points while scoring an average of 107.25. That big underdog win sees Essendon as the most profitable team against the head to head odds thus far +$738 while against the AFL line handicap they are 1-3 -$205.
If you are considering a bet on the Collingwood v Essendon winning margin market then it is worth doing some odds shopping. Currently some of the highest odds include Collingwood by 1-39 points $2.50 at Centrebet, Collingwood by 40+ at odds of $6.00 at Pinnacle while for Essendon to cause another upset you can get the Bombers by 1-39 points at $2.85 (Centrebet) and Essendon by 40+ $9.25 at Luxbet with the draw available at Pinnacle at $56.00.