AFL Round 4, 2012 -
Undefeated rivals the Carlton Blues take on the Essendon Bombers in AFL Round 4 action, Saturday 1.45pm at the MCG. Carlton's red hot form coupled with the Bombers injury concerns has seen the Blues open as short priced favourites. BetonFooty.com.au's Live AFL Odds Comparison shows that currently Carlton are at odds of $1.13 in the head to head market while Essendon are priced between $6.00 to $6.87. The early AFL line for this game has Carlton -37.5 points Essendon +37.5.
The over under total line for the Carlton v Essendon game sees an opening line of over under 207.5 at Sportsbet.com.au and O/U 205.5 at Centrebet. With some of the other bookmakers yet to post their lines.
Carlton is coming off a 60 point win over the Magpies last Friday night where they dominated every facet of the game. The end score of (18.14) 122 to (9.8) 62 gave the Blues their first win over Collingwood in 6 matches. Carlton are 3-0 to start the season with their other two wins being against Richmond (18.17) 125 to (12.9) 81 and over Brisbane (23.16) 154 to (9.9) 63. In AFL betting results Carlton are 3-0 +$285 against the line handicap and are showing a profit of +$174 against the head to head odds for $100 bet each week.
Essendon ventured up to Metricon Stadium on the Gold Coast as $1.03 red hot favourites last week with the Suns as $12 outsiders. With the Gold Coast Suns ahead by 7 points at three-quarter time it looked as though the upset of the season may be on the cards. The Bombers however took control of the 4th scoring 5 goals to 1 and getting the win (15.15) 105 to (13.10) 88. Essendon's other wins have come against North Melbourne (14.20) 104 to (15.12) 102 and Port Adelaide (16.15) 111 to (13.8) 86. In AFL betting results the Bombers are yet to cover the line handicap despite having a 3-0 +$113 record in against the money line.
The early lines and odds in the winning margin betting market sees Carlton by 1-39 points $2.45, Carlton by 40+ $1.91, Essendon by 1-39 points $7.40, Essendon by 40+ points $34.00 and the draw at $67.
Over the last 5 seasons these two teams have met 10 times. Essendon have won 6, Carlton 3 with the first game last season ending in a draw. The underdog has won 5 times to the favourites four times and the the home and away record is 4-5-1. Essendon has won as an underdog 4 times at odds of $3.38, $4.10, $2.66 and $2.51. The last time the two teams met Carlton got the win 153 to 79 as $1.5 -14.5 point favourites. The average game total is 220.73 over the last tem games and 195.50 over the last four.