AFL Round 4, 2012 -
The Adelaide Crows take on the Greater Western Sydney Giants in AFL Round 4 action. How many points will the Crows win by? seems to be the question with Adelaide at the unbackable odds of $1.00. The AFL head to head market for this game sees the Crows range from $1.00 to $1.011 and the Giants are currently $41. The real interest from a betting perspective lies in the AFL line handicap, with our live AFL Odds and Lines currently showing the bookmakers lines range from Adelaide -88.5 GWS +88.5 up to Adelaide -90.5 GWS +90.5.
When one team is favoured by so much that the head to head odds are unbackable you often find many punters turning their attention to the winning margin odds. Currently the best odds for Adelaide to win by 1-39 points is 11.00 and Adelaide by 40+ points $1.05 while GWS by 1-39 points is at odds of $41 and GWS by 40+ $501
Adelaide have had 2 wins and a loss this season, with their victories coming against the Gold Coast Suns (19.23) 137 to (10.8) 68 and over the Western Bulldogs (11.16) 82 to (9.10) 64. Last week the Crows went down by 56 points to the Hawks (12.12) 84 to (21.14) 140. In AFL betting results we see that the Crows are 1-2 -$105 against the AFL line handicap and they are showing a loss of -$60.30 against the head to head odds.
While the young Greater Western Sydney side is yet to record a victory and probably not expected to anywhere in the near future, they have been a profitable bet for those who have taken them against the line handicap. The Giants covered the line of +90.5 in round 1 against the Swans when they lost (5.7) 37 to (14.6) 100 and then again last week where they covered the line of +105.5 against the West Coat Eagles (10.9) 69 to (23.12) 150. The difficulty in betting against GWS on the line is that their opponents put so many points on early and have the game wrapped up early, they then can take the foot off the pedal and cruise home or start resting players letting GWS get close enough to cover the line.
Looking ahead the Crows will host Port Adelaide next Sunday and the Giants will be at home to the Western Bulldogs.