Port Adelaide v Sydney

AFL Round 3, 2012 -

The Port Adelaide Power host the Sydney Swans in AFL round 3, Saturday (1.40pm). In AFL betting markets Port Adelaide are home underdogs sporting between a +12.5 to +14.5 points line handicap start with the bookmakers. Currently our Live AFL Odds show that the Power are trading between $2.60 to $2.63 in the head to head odds market and the Sydney Swans are being offered at odds of between $1.47 to $1.53.

Port Adelaide who has 1 win and 1 loss to start the season will welcome Robbie Gray back from injury for this game. The Power defeated St Kilda at home in round 1 (13.11) 89 to (13.7) 85 and in doing so they cashed against the head to head odds of $3.39 and easily covered the line handicap of +16.5. Round 2 saw them fall short against Essendon (13.8) 86 to (16.15) 111, however they are looking a tougher outfit than last season and they kept the game close enough to cover the line (+25.5) by half a point.

The Sydney Swans are 2-0 for the season with wins over GWS (14.16) 100 to (5.7) 37 and last week against Fremantle (14.10) 94 to (12.9) 81. The Swans have averaged 97 points per game and allowed an average of 59 for a positive point’s differential of +38. In AFL betting markets the Swans have a 1-1 record against the line handicap for -$5 ($100 bets each week) and show a profit against the head to head odds of +$76.

AFL Betting History Port Adelaide v Sydney Round 3, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
20/05/07 1.74 -6.5 Sydney 118 V 87 Port Adelaide 6.5 2.23
30/03/08 1.77 -6.5 Sydney 146 V 78 Port Adelaide 6.5 2.18
24/05/08 1.63 -12.5 Port Adelaide 94 V 105 Sydney 12.5 2.44
24/05/09 1.65 -10.5 Sydney 123 V 68 Port Adelaide 10.5 2.4
12/06/10 1.83 0 Port Adelaide 55 V 93 Sydney 0 2.09
14/05/11 1.14 -37.5 Sydney 121 V 59 Port Adelaide 37.5 6.69

The past 6 regular season games played between these two team over the past 5 seasons has seen Sydney dominate. The Swans are 6-0 straight up and 6-0 against the line handicap. Betting $100 on the Swans in each of those games would have produced a +$483 (81% ROI) profit against the money line and +$570 against the AFL line handicap. The average game total has been 191.17 made up of individual totals of 205, 224, 199, 191, 148 and 180.