Carlton v Collingwood

AFL Round 3, 2012 -

The Carlton and Collingwood rivalry continues in AFL Friday night football at the MCG. The bookmakers have installed Carlton as slight favourites for Friday night’s game which will be played out in front of a bumper crowd. The current AFL Odds head to head market sees the Carlton Blues at $1.85 with most of the bookmakers while if you fancy Collingwood straight up they are priced between $1.95 up to $2.06. The AFL Line Handicap is ranging between Carlton -1 Collingwood +1 to +/- 1.5.

Carlton have started season 2012 with 2 wins, beating Richmond (18.17) 125 to (12.9) 81 and last week they dealt out a 91 point loss to the Lions (23.16) 154 to (9.9) 63. In AFL betting results over the first two rounds we see that the Blues covered the line handicap bet on both occasions giving them a profit of +$190 and the two straight up wins have produced a profit of +$89 against the head to head odds (for $100 bets each week).

Collingwood got back to their winning ways last week with a (12.13) 85 win over Richmond (8.16) 64. While the Magpies won the head to head bet at odds of around $1.16 they failed to cover the line handicap bet of -29.5 points. In round 1 the Magpies went down to Hawthorn by 22 points (16.19) 115 to (20.17) 137 and also failed to cover the line handicap of +6.5. After two AFL rounds Collingwood's betting record sees them 0-2 against the line handicap -$200 and their 1-1 straight up record gives them -$84.4 loss against the moneyline odds.

Blues v Magpies Margin Betting

If the AFL head to head or line handicap odds are not juicy enough then the winning margin market might be of interest. Currently Centrebet have Carlton winning margin 1-39 points at $2.70 and Collingwood 1-39 $2.75. Sportsbet.com.au currently have the highest odds if you think either team will win convincingly with Carlton 40+ at $5.8 and Collingwood 40+ at $6.4 while the draw result is $67.

AFL Betting History Carlton v Collingwood Round 3, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
12/05/07 1.48 -15.5 Collingwood 119 V 95 Carlton 15.5 2.9
04/08/07 7.5 32.5 Carlton 96 V 120 Collingwood -32.5 1.12
13/04/08 4.1 24.5 Carlton 111 V 88 Collingwood -24.5 1.28
15/06/08 1.4 -19.5 Collingwood 89 V 119 Carlton 19.5 3.24
17/05/09 2.62 14.5 Collingwood 53 V 104 Carlton -14.5 1.56
24/07/09 2.2 4.5 Carlton 40 V 94 Collingwood -4.5 1.76
02/05/10 2.53 11.5 Carlton 102 V 155 Collingwood -11.5 1.59
31/07/10 1.22 -29.5 Collingwood 105 V 57 Carlton 29.5 4.85
08/04/11 1.28 -23.5 Collingwood 102 V 74 Carlton 23.5 4.14
16/07/11 5.83 37.5 Carlton 79 V 98 Collingwood -37.5 1.17

This great sporting rivalry has seen 10 regular season match ups over the past 5 seasons. Collingwood hold a 6-4 straight up advantage over that time while the line handicap betting results are split 5-5. The starting favourite has had the better of it by winning 8 of the 10. The winning team has covered the AFL line handicap bet 8-2. Understandably there is no real home field advantage at the MCG, as the home and away results show with the home team having won 4 to the away teams 6. The average game total has been 190 points.