Geelong v Sydney

AFL Round 23, 2012 -

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Geelong host Sydney at Simonds Stadium in AFL Round 23, Saturday 1.45pm. The current bookmakers odds see Geelong trading between $1.64 up to $1.714 in the head to head market while Sydney are priced between $2.15 up to $2.30. The line handicap differs amongst the bookies, with the average being Geelong -6.5 Sydney +6.5 however lines of -/+5.5 and -/+7.5 are also available.

Geelong Cats: The Cats are putting it together at the right end of the season and they need a win here to help their chances of avoiding an interstate knock out final. Sitting in 6th place Geelong has a 14-7 overall record and 9-1 home record. They have averaged 27.24 scoring shots per game while conceding 23.48 for a +3.76scoring shots differential. Geelong's last four games have included wins against Western Bulldogs (107-73), St Kilda (123-81) and Hawthorn (118-116) and a loss to the West Coast (97-102). In AFL betting results this season the Cats have the worst record 7-14 (-$735) against the line handicap bet of any team while against the head to head odds they are showing a profit of +$93.80 (for $100 bets each week).

Sydney Swans: The Swans need to win this game to finish in the top two and to do so they will have to overcome a Geelong side who have a very good record at Simonds Stadium. Currently sitting in 2nd place with a 16-5 overall and 8-3 home record the Swans have averaged 27.48 scoring shots per game while allowing 20.57 for a differential of +6.91. In recent AFL results the Swans have lost to Hawthorn (95-102), thrashed the Bulldogs (167-85), lost to the Magpies (70-78) and defeated Carlton (93-71). Backing the Swans has been a profitable venture for the most part this season as they have a 14-7 (+$630) line handicap record and they are +$506.10 against the head to head odds.

AFL Betting History Geelong v Sydney Round 23, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
30/06/07 1.35 -17.5 Geelong 87 V 69 Sydney 17.5 3.5
19/04/08 1.25 -25.5 Geelong 114 V 72 Sydney 25.5 4.55
16/08/08 4.7 25.5 Sydney 94 V 133 Geelong -25.5 1.23
09/05/09 1.12 -37.5 Geelong 116 V 65 Sydney 37.5 7.4
15/08/09 2.8 13.5 Sydney 87 V 92 Geelong -13.5 1.5
09/05/10 1.31 -22.5 Geelong 126 V 59 Sydney 22.5 3.87
31/07/10 4.54 26.5 Sydney 72 V 125 Geelong -26.5 1.24
16/04/11 2.2 5.5 Sydney 54 V 81 Geelong -5.5 1.75
27/08/11 1.09 -47.5 Geelong 86 V 99 Sydney 47.5 9.5
22/06/12 1.67 -7.5 Sydney 80 V 74 Geelong 7.5 2.3

The Prediction - BetonFooty.com.au's numbers like the value on offer for the Swans in the Head to Head market, we have backed Sydney at $2.30.