Geelong v Sydney
AFL Round 23, 2012 -
Geelong host Sydney at Simonds Stadium in AFL Round 23, Saturday 1.45pm. The current bookmakers odds see Geelong trading between $1.64 up to $1.714 in the head to head market while Sydney are priced between $2.15 up to $2.30. The line handicap differs amongst the bookies, with the average being Geelong -6.5 Sydney +6.5 however lines of -/+5.5 and -/+7.5 are also available.
Geelong Cats: The Cats are putting it together at the right end of the season and they need a win here to help their chances of avoiding an interstate knock out final. Sitting in 6th place Geelong has a 14-7 overall record and 9-1 home record. They have averaged 27.24 scoring shots per game while conceding 23.48 for a +3.76scoring shots differential. Geelong's last four games have included wins against Western Bulldogs (107-73), St Kilda (123-81) and Hawthorn (118-116) and a loss to the West Coast (97-102). In AFL betting results this season the Cats have the worst record 7-14 (-$735) against the line handicap bet of any team while against the head to head odds they are showing a profit of +$93.80 (for $100 bets each week).
Sydney Swans: The Swans need to win this game to finish in the top two and to do so they will have to overcome a Geelong side who have a very good record at Simonds Stadium. Currently sitting in 2nd place with a 16-5 overall and 8-3 home record the Swans have averaged 27.48 scoring shots per game while allowing 20.57 for a differential of +6.91. In recent AFL results the Swans have lost to Hawthorn (95-102), thrashed the Bulldogs (167-85), lost to the Magpies (70-78) and defeated Carlton (93-71). Backing the Swans has been a profitable venture for the most part this season as they have a 14-7 (+$630) line handicap record and they are +$506.10 against the head to head odds.
| Date | Odds | Line | Home | Score | V | Score | Away | Line | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/07 | 1.35 | -17.5 | Geelong | 87 |  |
69 | Sydney | 17.5 | 3.5 |
| 19/04/08 | 1.25 | -25.5 | Geelong | 114 | |
72 | Sydney | 25.5 | 4.55 |
| 16/08/08 | 4.7 | 25.5 | Sydney | 94 | |
133 | Geelong | -25.5 | 1.23 |
| 09/05/09 | 1.12 | -37.5 | Geelong | 116 | |
65 | Sydney | 37.5 | 7.4 |
| 15/08/09 | 2.8 | 13.5 | Sydney | 87 | |
92 | Geelong | -13.5 | 1.5 |
| 09/05/10 | 1.31 | -22.5 | Geelong | 126 | |
59 | Sydney | 22.5 | 3.87 |
| 31/07/10 | 4.54 | 26.5 | Sydney | 72 | |
125 | Geelong | -26.5 | 1.24 |
| 16/04/11 | 2.2 | 5.5 | Sydney | 54 | |
81 | Geelong | -5.5 | 1.75 |
| 27/08/11 | 1.09 | -47.5 | Geelong | 86 | |
99 | Sydney | 47.5 | 9.5 |
| 22/06/12 | 1.67 | -7.5 | Sydney | 80 | |
74 | Geelong | 7.5 | 2.3 |
The Prediction - BetonFooty.com.au's numbers like the value on offer for the Swans in the Head to Head market, we have backed Sydney at $2.30.
