West Coast v Geelong
AFL Round 20, 2012 -
Friday Night Footy sees the West Coast Eagles hosting the Geelong Cats, 6.40pm Patersons Stadium. The bookmakers have priced this game up as pretty much a coin toss with the latest AFL Odds showing West Coast priced between $1.884 up to $1.92 in the Head to Head market while odds for a Geelong victory range between $1.92 up to $2.02. The Line Handicap where available is West Coast -0.5 Geelong +0.5.
West Coast: The Eagles are sitting in 5th place with a 12-6 record having averaged 28.17 scoring shots per game while allowing 22.28 for a differential of +5.89. At home this year the Eagles have been strong holding an 8-1 record. West Coast will be looking to bounce back after Fremantle gave them a 65 point hiding last week (48-113). Other recent results for the Eagles include a win over the Lions (175-77) and losses against the Crows (75-124) and Swans (69-121). In AFL betting results the West Coast are 8-10 (-$240) against the line handicap and they are showing a loss of -$198.8 against the moneyline odds.
Geelong: It has been a good month for the Cats as they have won 3 of their last four, which has included victories over Hawthorn (118-116), Adelaide (102-75) and Essendon (79-105) and a loss to Collingwood (79-105). Currently sitting in 6th place with 12 wins and 6 losses the Cats have averaged 27.32 scoring shots per game while conceding an average of 23.72 giving them a scoring shots per game differential of +3.5. In betting results Geelong are currently the worst team in the league against the line handicap with their 6-12 (-$630) record while against the head to head odds they are +$141.10 (for $100 bets each week).
| Date | Odds | Line | Home | Score | V | Score | Away | Line | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/07 | 1.81 | -13.5 | Geelong | 109 |  |
70 | West Coast | 13.5 | 2.13 |
| 21/06/08 | 5.75 | 31.5 | West Coast | 47 | |
182 | Geelong | -31.5 | 1.16 |
| 30/08/08 | 1.03 | -70.5 | Geelong | 164 | |
65 | West Coast | 70.5 | 13.75 |
| 07/06/09 | 7.5 | 39.5 | West Coast | 77 | |
99 | Geelong | -39.5 | 1.12 |
| 05/06/10 | 6.87 | 39.5 | West Coast | 98 | |
122 | Geelong | -39.5 | 1.14 |
| 28/08/10 | 1.03 | -70.5 | Geelong | 112 | |
68 | West Coast | 70.5 | 17.5 |
| 08/07/11 | 2.2 | 0 | West Coast | 96 | |
88 | Geelong | 0 | 1.75 |
History between West Coast v Geelong: The last seven regular season encounters between these two clubs has seen Geelong prevail on 6 occasions while West Coast has just the 1 win. The home v away record is 4-3 and the starting favourite has a 6-1 record. The winning team has covered the line handicap 4-3 and the last regular season meeting saw the Eagles get the win (96-88) as $2.2 underdogs.
The Prediction - Here at BetonFooty.com.au our numbers like the odds on offer for the West Coast at home. We have taken the West Coast Eagles in the Head to Head market at $1.99 a couple of days ago.
