Collingwood takes on St Kilda in AFL Round 19 action, 7.40pm Saturday night. Current AFL Odds see Collingwood priced between $1.40 up to $1.467 in the Head to Head market while St Kilda are between $2.85 up to $3.00. Most bookmakers have the line handicap set at Collingwood -15.5 St Kilda +15.5 with the over under total yet to be released.
Collingwood: The Magpies have 52 competition points which sees them sitting in 4th place on percentages. They have won 13 games and lost 4 games having averaged 28 scoring shots per game while conceding an average of 24.29 for a +3.71 differential. Recent AFL Results for Nathan Buckley's side includes wins against Greater Western Sydney (174-54) and Geelong (105-79) and losses against Hawthorn (91-138) and Carlton (62-85). In AFL betting results this season Collingwood have a 6-11 (-$530) record against the line handicap while against the head to head odds they are showing a profit of +$115.20 (for $100 bets each week).
St Kilda: Given the Saints remaining schedule and their current ladder position of 10th they will likely need to cause an upset or two in order to make the finals. St Kilda have a 9-8 record having averaged 28.47 scoring shots per game while allowing an average of 23.29 scoring shots per game for a differential of +5.18. The Saints last four games have seen them record wins over the Bulldogs (118-42), Lions (105-92) and Bombers (133-62) and fall short against the Swans (76-105). In betting results St Kilda are 8-9 (-$140) against the line handicap bet and they are -$25.30 against the money line odds.
History Between Collingwood and St Kilda: Collingwood hold the advantage over the last eight regular season games with a 6-2 record. Line handicap results over this time are split 4-4 with the outright winner covering 6-2. The starting favourite v underdog record is 6-2 and the average game total is 161.75 points. Last time they met Collingwood got the victory (89-70) as $1.15 favourites however the Saints managed to cover the line handicap with a +36.5 point start.
The Prediction - BetonFooty.com.au agrees that Collingwood deserve to be favourites for this clash, but not to the size the odds suggest. We see value on the Saints straight up and have taken St Kilda at $3.00 in the head to head market.