Geelong takes on Essendon in AFL Round 17, Friday 7.50pm at Etihad Stadium. The leading bookmakers current AFL odds see Geelong as slight underdogs, trading between $2.00 up to $2.10 while Essendon's odds range between $1.73 up to $1.854. The Line Handicap for this all important clash sees the Geelong Cats +4.5 Essendon Bombers -4.5 (with +/-3.5 also available).
Geelong: Having received a thrashing from Collingwood last week, the result of this game and the Cats ability to correct the ship is vitally important for their season. Sitting in 7th place on the ladder with a 9-6 record Geelong have averaged 26.73 scoring shots per game while allowing an average of 23.93 for a +2.8 differential. They have been strong at home where they hold a 5-1 record this season. In recent AFL results Geelong have lost to the Magpies (79-105), beaten the Suns (110-96) and Power (99-61) and lost to the Swans (74-80). In AFL betting results the Cats have not been kind to punters this season, they hold the worst record in the league against the line handicap at 3-12 (-$915) and they are also showing a loss against the head to head odds of -$288.90 (for $100 bets each week).
Essendon The Bombers are sitting in 6th spot having won 11 games and lost just 4 games. They have averaged 29.87 scoring shots per game while conceding an average of 22 for a healthy differential of +7.87. Over the last four weeks Essendon have defeated Port Adelaide (127-77), lost to St Kilda (62-133) and beaten Western Bulldogs (140-56) and Fremantle (113-89). As BetonFooty.com.au's AFL Odds betting results show Essendon are the most profitable team against the head to head odds with a 11-4 +$631.40 record. In line handicap results the Bombers have covered 8 times and fallen short 7 times for a modest +$60 profit.
History between Geelong v Essendon: The past 6 regular season games between these two clubs has seen an average game total of 217.17 points. Geelong hold the advantage over that period with 5 wins to Essendon’s 1 win. In other stats we see that the home v away record is 3-3 and the starting favourite has a 5-1 record. The Line Handicap has not been a factor with the team who has won outright managing to cover the line in all 6 games. The last time they met the Bombers got the win (115-111) as $8.60 (+43.5) underdogs.
The Prediction - Here at BetonFooty.com.au our numbers show value on the Cats and we have taken them against the head to head at odds of $2.05. Worth noting this weekend is Sportsbet.com.au's generous promotion whereby they will refund your AFL head to head bets if your team is leading at 3 quarter time and they lose the match. If you would like to take advantage of the offer and check out the promotion rules Click here.