Collingwood v Hawthorn

AFL Round 17, 2012 -

AFL Round 17 features some great match ups with none better than Collingwood taking on Hawthorn, 1.45pm Saturday at the MCG. The Latest AFL Odds see Collingwood priced between $1.94 up to $1.98 in the Head to Head market while Hawthorn are slight favourites with their odds between $1.82 up to $1.925. With the bookmakers pricing these two teams evenly most are not running a line handicap.

Collingwood: The Magpies are coming off a convincing 26 point win over Geelong which took their record to 12-3 for the season. Sitting in 3rd place on the ladder Collingwood have averaged 27.07 scoring shots per game while allowing their opponents an average of 24.07 scoring shots for a differential of +3. The past four matches for Collingwood have resulted in a win over Geelong (105-79), a loss to Carlton (62-85) and wins over Fremantle (107-78) and West Coast (85-82). In AFL betting results the Magpies have not covered the line handicap too often this season with their record currently standing at 5-10 (-$525) while their head to head record of 12-3 is showing a profit of +$214.20 (for $100 bets each week).

Hawthorn: Alastair Clarkson's Hawks are traveling along well with an 11-4 record which sits them in 4th place on the ladder. Hawthorn have averaged 32.67 scoring shots per game while conceding 21.07 for a +11.6 differential. In AFL futures markets the leading online bookmakers have the Hawks as favourites to take out the premiership with their odds ranging between $3.25 up to $3.50. Hawthorn's last four games have seen them defeat the Bulldogs (116-44), Giants (193-31), Blues (120-70) and Lions (135-70). Showing a profit of +$645 and sporting a 11-4 record the Hawks are currently the most profitable team against the Line Handicap in the league, while despite an impressive win loss record they are -$157 against the head to head odds.

AFL Betting History Collingwood v Hawthorn Round 17, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
01/07/07 2.28 8.5 Collingwood 87 V 95 Hawthorn -8.5 1.71
03/05/08 1.57 -13.5 Hawthorn 154 V 89 Collingwood 13.5 2.6
01/08/08 3.04 15.5 Collingwood 62 V 116 Hawthorn -15.5 1.44
18/07/09 1.4 -17.5 Collingwood 76 V 121 Hawthorn 17.5 3.2
17/04/10 1.65 -9.5 Collingwood 123 V 59 Hawthorn 9.5 2.39
28/08/10 2.6 11.5 Hawthorn 98 V 95 Collingwood -11.5 1.56
03/07/11 1.34 -22.5 Collingwood 106 V 65 Hawthorn 22.5 3.56
30/03/12 1.67 -6.5 Hawthorn 137 V 115 Collingwood 6.5 2.3

Collingwood v Hawthorn History: The last eight regular season clashes between these two sides has seen the Hawks win 6 games and the Magpies win 2 games. The home side has a 5-3 record while the starting favourite v underdog record is 6-2. The winning team has covered the line handicap 7-1 and the average game total is 199.75 points. The last time they played Hawthorn won (137-115) and covered the line in a high scoring game as $1.67 (-6.5) favourites.

The Prediction - like Hawthorn in this game and our handicapping numbers show sufficient value on them to warrant a play. We have taken the Hawks in the Head to Head market at odds of $1.90. Worth mentioning is's generous promotion for round 17 whereby they will refund your AFL head to head bets if your team is leading at 3 quarter time and they lose the match. If you would like to take advantage of the offer and check out the promotion rules Click here.