Sydney v Brisbane

AFL Round 15, 2012 -

Sydney host Brisbane in AFL Round 14, Saturday 4.40pm at the SCG. The bookmakers have installed the Swans as heavy favourites with the latest live AFL Head to Head Odds market showing them priced between $1.16 up to $1.208 while Brisbane's odds are offered between $5.08 up to $5.45. In the Line Handicap market we see that after opening the week at -/+30.5 the line has moved to Sydney -32.5 Brisbane +32.5 while some sportsbooks have the line out to -/+33.5.

The Swans: Sydney are traveling along nicely, sitting in 2nd place on the ladder they are among 4 teams who are sporting 10-3 records coming into round 14. Sydney have averaged 26.54 scoring shots per game while allowing an average of 20.69 for a scoring shots differential of +5.85. The Swans have been strong at home this season as their 6-1 record indicates, they are 5-2 (+$275) against the line handicap bet at home and +$170.50 against the head to head odds. In recent AFL Results the Swans have defeated GWS (132-38), Geelong (80-74), Essendon (86-82 and Western Bulldogs (132-40) and had the bye. Against the major AFL betting markets this season Sydney are 8-5 (+$260) against the line and they are +$446.50 against the money line odds.

The Lions: Michael Voss' side are currently one win outside the top eight having won 3 of their last 4. Sitting in 12th place with a 6-7 record the Lions have averaged 22.69 scoring shots per game while allowing 25.77 for a -3.08 differential. In AFL Line Betting Results Brisbane are 8-5 (+$260) while against the head to head odds they are showing a profit of +$184.90 (for $100 bets each week). Recent results has seen them collect wins over the Demons (122-61), Bulldogs (114-56) and Eagles (102-100) and go down to the Hawks (70-135).

Sydney v Brisbane Winning Margin odds: Comparing prices at the leading online bookmakers we see that currently Sydney to win by 1-39 points is $2.25 up to $2.30, Sydney by 40+ $2.10 up to $2.20 and for the Brisbane Lions to clinch the upset win by 1-39 points the odds range between $5.60 up to $5.70 or for Brisbane by 40+ $23 up to $36 with the draw at $81.

AFL Betting History Sydney v Brisbane Round 15, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
15/04/07 1.44 -14.5 Sydney 96 V 69 Brisbane 14.5 3
18/08/07 2.06 4.5 Brisbane 63 V 63 Sydney -4.5 1.86
05/04/08 1.77 -6.5 Brisbane 71 V 88 Sydney 6.5 2.18
30/08/08 1.49 -14.5 Sydney 114 V 53 Brisbane 14.5 2.85
11/04/09 1.54 -13.5 Brisbane 100 V 67 Sydney 13.5 2.67
29/08/09 1.82 0 Sydney 92 V 100 Brisbane 0 2.12
01/05/10 1.56 -12.5 Sydney 107 V 87 Brisbane 12.5 2.6
28/08/10 3.12 18.5 Brisbane 68 V 106 Sydney -18.5 1.42
04/06/11 1.9 0 Brisbane 51 V 116 Sydney 0 2.01
03/09/11 1.14 -35.5 Sydney 119 V 67 Brisbane 35.5 6.87

The Prediction - BetonFooty.com.au's handicapping figures show sufficient value on the Swans against the line handicap here to make a play and we have taken Sydney -31.5 at 1.92.