Melbourne v Greater Western Sydney

AFL Round 13, 2012 -

The Melbourne Demons host the Greater Western Sydney Giants in AFL Round 13 action. The opening odds for this game saw Melbourne at $1.35 and the Giants $3.50 with a line of -/+19.5 points. Currently comparing the live AFL odds we see Melbourne are trading between $1.26 up to $1.31 while GWS are priced between $3.60 up to $4.00. The line handicap varies amongst the bookmakers with Melbourne -24.5 GWS +24.5 being the average.

Melbourne: The Demons are sitting in 16th spot with 1 win and 10 losses. They have averaged 18.55 scoring shots per game while allowing an average of 31.82 for a differential of -13.27. In recent AFL scores and results Melbourne have lost to the Magpies (87-129), defeated the Bombers (58-52) and lost to the Blues (49-107) and Swans (37-138). In AFL betting results Melbourne are 4-7 (-$320) against the line handicap bet and they are +$150 against the money line odds.

GWS: Despite sitting in 17th place on the ladder with one win to their name Kevin Sheedy's side have been competitive. Proof of that is their impressive record against the line handicap bet. The Giants have covered the line more often than any other team in the league and have a 9-2 (+$655) record (for $100 bets each week). On the flip slide their record against the head to head odds sees them with a 1-10 (-$805) record. In recent results for the Giants they have lost to the Tigers (74-86), Cats (61-126), Bombers (53-119) and Lions (40-132).

Melbourne v GWS Winning Margin Odds: Be sure to shop for the highest odds amongst the top AFL bookmakers before you place your bet as the odds can vary widely. Currently we see that for Melbourne to win by 1-39 points the prices range between $2.05 up to $2.30, for Melbourne by 40+ $2.60 up to $2.95 while for the Giants to cause an upset by 1-39 points the odds range between $4.20 up to $4.25 and GWS by 40+ $17 up to $21 with the draw at $67.

The Prediction - Our numbers here at show value on the Demons against the line handicap. We got in a few days ago and took Melbourne -20.5 at $1.91.