Adelaide v St Kilda

AFL Round 12, 2012 -

Adelaide Crows v St Kilda Saints betting sees the Crows going in as 15.5 point favourites in AFL Friday Night Footy. Our Live AFL bookmaker odds comparison shows that currently Adelaide are trading between $1.42 up to $1.47 in the head to head market while St Kilda are priced between $2.75 up to $2.92. The average line handicap is Adelaide -15.5 St Kilda +15.5 although depending on the bookmaker lines of -/+14.5 and -/+13.5 are also available.

The Crows: Adelaide enter the second half of the season well rested after the bye last week. No doubt Brenton Sanderson will be keen to see his side continue the form that has gotten them to 5th on the ladder with an 8-2 record. Previous to the bye the Crows recent AFL results have seen them defeat Fremantle (111-82) and Carlton (124-55) and go down to Collingwood (49-75). Adelaide have averaged 27.90 scoring shots per game while allowing 21.6 which gives them a +6.3 scoring shots differential per game. In AFL head to head odds betting results Adelaide have been the most profitable team in the league with their 8 wins and two losses showing +$624.40 profit (for $100 bets each week) while against the line they are 6-4 (+$170).

The Saints: They may not have had the bye last week but St Kilda did it pretty easy none the less with a comfortable 95 point win over the Suns (144-49). In other recent results St Kilda have lost to Richmond (113-121), beaten Sydney (111-83) and lost to West Coast (91-121). The Saints are in 8th place with 6 wins and 5 losses having averaged 28 scoring shots per game while allowing 22.64 for a differential of +5.36. In AFL line betting results St Kilda have covered the line 6 times and fallen short 5 for -$125 while against the money line odds they are nearly even at -$2.89.

Adelaide v St Kilda Winning Margin Odds: Taking a quick look at the top AFL sportsbooks and bookmakers odds we see that currently Adelaide to win by 1-39 points is trading between $2.15 up to $2.30 while for Adelaide by 40+ points the odds range between $3.35 up to $3.90. For those who fancy that St Kilda can cause an upset by 1-39 points you can get them between $3.20 up to $3.53 or for the Saints by 40+ $12 up to $13.60 with the draw out at $67.

AFL Betting History Adelaide v St Kilda Round 12, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
13/07/07 2.33 8.5 St Kilda 82 V 80 Adelaide -8.5 1.62
24/08/08 1.83 -4.5 St Kilda 95 V 47 Adelaide 4.5 2.1
03/04/09 1.64 -9.5 Adelaide 69 V 101 St Kilda 9.5 2.41
19/07/09 1.32 -20.5 St Kilda 105 V 48 Adelaide 20.5 3.71
29/05/10 1.25 -26.5 St Kilda 123 V 76 Adelaide 26.5 4.46
28/08/10 2.72 14.5 Adelaide 65 V 37 St Kilda -14.5 1.52
30/04/11 1.77 -4.5 Adelaide 90 V 71 St Kilda 4.5 2.18
22/07/11 1.13 -39.5 St Kilda 127 V 24 Adelaide 39.5 7.04

Adelaide v St Kilda History: St Kilda hold the advantage with a 6-2 record over their last 8 regular season meetings. The home team has dominated having won 7 games to the away team’s one while the favourite v underdog record is 5-3. The team who has won straight up has also covered the line handicap in all of the last 8 games. The average game total is 155 points.

The Prediction - Here at our handicapping numbers are giving Adelaide around a 66% chance of victory which is pretty much in agreement with the odds and lines of the bookies, so no play here for us.