Richmond v Fremantle

AFL Round 11, 2012 -

10th place Richmond host 11th placed Fremantle, 2.10pm Saturday at the MCG. The bookies have installed Richmond as favourites with their current odds trading at $1.20 while Frematle are ranging between $4.50 up to $4.93 in the head to head market. Checking our Live AFL Odds and Lines we see the current Line is Richmond -30.5 Fremantle +30.5 with no over under total line posted yet.

Richmond Tigers: Richmond are the equal best team against the AFL Line Handicap bet after 10 rounds. Have you been backing them against the line? If so you are no doubt pleased with the results. The Tigers 8-2 record is showing a profit of +$560 for $100 bets each week as per's AFL Line Betting Results. They have a 3-0 record against the line as favourites, 4-2 as underdogs and 1-0 with a 0 handicap. In scoring shots per game statistics the Tigers have averaged 27.4 and allowed 25.3 for a positive differential of +2.1.

Richmond Line Up News: In Tigers line up news they welcome newcomer Brett O'Hanlon from the Dandenong Stingrays and see Matt Dea included in the side while Nathan Foley and Jake King are out.

Fremantle: The Dockers are coming off a 29 point loss to the Crows (111-82) where they started as $2.24 (+8.5) underdogs. Other recent results for Fremantle include losses to West Coast (36-84) and Hawthorn (63-119) and a win over Port Adelaide (87-47). The Dockers have averaged 21.6 scoring shots per game while allowing their opponents an average of 21.7 scoring shots for a differential of -.10. Looking at Fremantle's performance against the AFL betting lines we see that they have a 3-7 (-$415) record against the line handicap bet and they are showing a loss of -$118 against the head to head odds.

Fremantle Line Up: The Dockers will be missing Paul Duffield, Zachary Clarke and Jack Anthony with Nick Suban, Adam McPhee and Johnathon Griffin coming into the side.

Winning Margin Odds for Richmond v Fremantle: Looking at the top AFL betting bookmakers odds we see that currently for Richmond to win by 1-39 points the odds range between $2.17 up to $2.2, Richmond by 40+ $2.30 up to $2.42 and for Fremantle to cause the upset by 1-39 points $5.00 up to $5.52 or Fremantle by 40+ $22 up to $29.00 with the draw at $71.

AFL Betting History Richmond v Fremantle Round 11, 2012
Date Odds Line Home Score V Score Away Line Odds
10/06/07 1.19 -30.5 Fremantle 123 V 102 Richmond 30.5 5.35
13/04/08 1.19 -35.5 Fremantle 73 V 137 Richmond 35.5 5.25
23/08/08 1.4 -19.5 Richmond 105 V 98 Fremantle 19.5 3.27
30/05/09 1.52 -12.5 Fremantle 112 V 115 Richmond 12.5 2.75
25/04/10 1.06 -48.5 Fremantle 112 V 73 Richmond 48.5 12.5
10/07/10 2.73 13.5 Richmond 100 V 81 Fremantle -13.5 1.52
07/05/11 2.37 8.5 Richmond 148 V 99 Fremantle -8.5 1.66

Richmond v Fremantle History: Having played 7 regular season games over the last 5 years it is Richmond who hold the advantage with a 5-2 record. The home team has won on 5 occasions while the away team has won twice. The favourite v underdog record is 3-4 with the highest priced underdog win being Richmond at $5.25 (+35.5) in 2008. The team who has won outright has covered the line handicap 4-3 and the average game total is 211.14.

The Prediction - The bookmakers odds and lines are pretty much in line with our handicapping numbers here at or certainly close enough that there is not sufficient enough value either way for us to make a play.