Hawthorn takes on North Melbourne in Tasmania in AFL Round 10, Saturday 2.10pm. The Bookies currently have Hawthorn priced between $1.26 up to $1.285 in the head to head market while North Melbourne's odds range between $3.75 up to $4.05. Checking our Live AFL Odds Comparison we see that most bookmakers are running a line handicap of Hawthorn -25.5 North Melbourne +25.5.
Hawthorn: Hawthorn headed into last weeks clash with Richmond as $1.32 (-22.5) favourites only to be dealt a 62 point hiding (75-137) in a game where they did not win a quarter. That loss took the Hawks to 5-4 for the season and places them in 8th spot on the ladder. Hawthorn has averaged 29.89 scoring shots per game while allowing 25 for a differential of +4.89. In AFL Results over the last three weeks Hawthorn have beaten Melbourne (115-49) and Fremantle (119-63) and lost to Richmond. Betting results for the Hawks sees them with a 5-4 (+$75) record against the line handicap and they are -$260.20 against the head to head odds. In Hawthorn line up news we see Stephen Gilham out and Bradley Hill in.
North Melbourne: The Kangaroos let Brisbane get considerably closer than they should have last week, after leading by 58 points at one stage the Kangaroos dropped off with the final score line reading (112-96). North Melbourne are sitting in 11th spot on the ladder having won 4 and lost 5, averaging 29.22 scoring shots per game while allowing 27.22 for a differential of +2. In AFL Line Betting Results North Melbourne have covered the line 4 times and fallen short 5 times for (-$120) and against the head to head odds they are -$92.30. The North Melbourne line up is unchanged for this game.
Hawthorn v North Melbourne Winning Margin Odds: Comparing odds at the major Online Bookmakers we see that currently the odds for Hawthorn to win by 1-39 points range between $2.10 up to $2.20, Hawthorn by 40+ is between $2.60 to $2.70 while for North Melbourne to get the win by 1-39 points $4.20 up to $4.55 and for the Kangaroos by 40+ $21 and the draw is $67.
Hawthorn v North Melbourne History: Having played 8 regular season games over the past 5 seasons it is Hawthorn who holds the advanatge 5-3. The home v away record is 2-6 and the favourite v underdog is 5-3. The team who has won outright has also covered the line handicap 5-3 and the average game total is 172.13 points. The last encounter saw Hawthorn get the win (103-86) having started as $1.16 (-36.5) favourites with North Melbourne covering the line by 19.5 points.
The Prediction - Our handicapping figures here at BetonFooty.com.au show sufficient value in the line handicap market to warrant a play. We have backed the North Melbourne Kangaroos +25.5 points at $1.935.