AFL Finals Week 2

AFL Finals Week 2, 2012 -

AFL FinalsAFL Finals

And then there were six! With comfortable wins under their belts the Hawks and Swans get the week off. Their opponents for next week will be decided in AFL Finals Week 2 where Adelaide host Fremantle, Friday night 8:15pm and Collingwood host West Coast, Saturday 7:45pm.


Adelaide v Fremantle:

Current Head to Head odds for this game see Adelaide as favourites trading between $1.77 up to $1.833 while odds for a Fremantle win are between $2.03 up to $2.09. The Line Handicap differs amongst the bookies with the average line being Adelaide -3.5 Fremantle +3.5 however lines of -/+4 and -/+4.5 are also available. The Crows suffered only their 2nd loss at home this season when they went down to the Swans (5, 12) 42 to (11, 5) 71 as $1.66 (-7.5) favourites. Fremantle on the other hand caused a major upset in defeating Geelong (14, 12) 96 to (11, 14) 80 as $3.73 (+22.5) road underdogs. The Crows have their home field advantage but the Dockers have the momentum, which will be more telling?

Adelaide v Fremantle Winning Margin Odds: A quick look at the winning margin odds for this game shows that currently prices for Adelaide to win by 1-39 points are trading between $2.05 up to $2.25, Adelaide by 40+ $4.60 up to $5.15 while for Fremantle to cause another upset by 1-39 points $2.80 up to $2.90 or by 40+ $10 up to $15 and the draw is at $67.

The Prediction: If ever a home field advantage is going to come into play it should be in an elimination final. Our numbers here at show value on the Crows -8.5 however we are going to pass. The Crows admitted that they were overawed last week with 9 finals debutants, they missed targets, dropped marks and made poor decisions. Now facing sudden death footy the stakes and pressure are even higher.

CollingwoodWest Coast

Collingwood v West Coast :

The Magpies are favourites with the bookies with the Live AFL Finals Odds showing them currently trading between $1.58 up to $1.617 in the Head to Head market. If you fancy the Eagles chances of causing an upset at the MCG their odds are trading between $2.35 up to $2.46 while in the Line Handicap market we see most bookmakers offering Collingwood -9.5 West Coast +9.5. Last week saw two vastly different results for these sides with Collingwood suffering a 38 point loss to the Hawthorn (15, 7) 97 to (20, 15) 135 as $3.49 (+21.5) underdogs. Across the other side of the country, West Coast were putting the Kangaroos to the sword with an emphatic 96 point win (24, 18) 162 to (9, 12) 66 as $1.25 (-26.5) home favourites.

Collingwood v West Coast Winning Margin Odds: Footy fans love having a bet on finals footy and there are hundred of different markets to choose from. One of the more popular options is the winning margin market with the potential of higher returns attracting punters. Currently the winning margin odds for this game see odds for Collingwood to win by 1-39 points trading between $2.15 up to $2.45, Collingwood by 40+ points $5.40 up to $6.85 while for West Coast to win by 1-39 points the odds are between $2.50 up to $2.70 and by 40+ points $7.50 up to $9.25 with the draw option as high as $67.

The prediction - Finals footy and regular season games are different propositions. West Coast has the edge with current form and if this game was being played in W.A it would be the Eagles as favourites. It is however being played in Melbourne, can the Eagles play to their full potential on the road? Our figures say West Coast by 15 however we will be leaving this game alone and not risking any of the winnings gained from regular season plays.